karlos1983

a few more beefy showers and there is every chance I wil go over 100mm of rain for the month of January, on only the 5th day in. Incredible. Oh and the River Stour at longham has burst over the roads and is approaching houses. Road is closed. As predicted by myself yesterday, shame the Environment agency didn't see it coming

perhaps round 2 showing its hand on the radar now to the SW

6.3mm fell from that lot, 35.8mm/hr

Thats the 00z

current rain rate of 35.8mm/hr Heading this way then hopefully

it's lashing it down here, torrential

Try this Textmum. http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ Imminent I would say. The brighter the colours on the Radar, the harder the rain will be. white bits = torrential and likely Lightning and Thunder

Well that may well be about to change, pretty radar incoming for Gloucester

Not much wrong with this from the GEM, heights to North East, Low heading South East, allowing clod to push in from the NE.

But the gfs throws out 4 runs a day, in comparison to the ECM, twice. Inter run variability from the GFS is out on it's own.

So I make it 7.3mm today, although do with cross checking with Dorsetbred if your around? Let's see how much comes from that showing on the radar moving E/NE and fast

Can anyone near me give me a precip report please? I've had an argument with my collector, and I'm back to zero! Grhhh

It's not raining anywhere near as hard as the Radar might suggest. EDIT: timing is everything, raining heavier almost the second a pressed post lol

Well I don't even need to look, pretty certain I've got that sound Sussed now, it's raining. Funny you say that, I woke up with fins this morning, starting to adapt and evolve

Where you heading? Alps are getting smashed this weekend I hear?

Look at the last update for the stour, 1st Jan, joke

Perhaps we should approach the express so they can apply some reasoning lol, we seem to have the same opinion ;-)

At least the precip accumulation looks much better for the next 192 hours, think we've peaked now guys, time to dry out before Mulls heads off skiing and the snow can actually settle :-)

That blob in the channel looks to have edged north in last couple of frames, May skirt the Dorset Coast , more likely, iow, Hampshire and Sussex

Not posted for a while, been taking a back seat, delving into the strat thread also, nowhere near being able to comment in there, but very interesting all the same. I think with the jet forecasted to weaken in speed somewhat in the next week or so, it could well be when we start to see some more positive outlooks for cold creeping in the models. Still way to early to be writing winter off IMO, especially considering how far winter stretched last year. Much prefer cold in late jan/Feb myself, always more fruitful. With the sea temps be above average surrounding the uk, if we can get an easterly or North easterly, surely great ingredients for big showers!

I pay my premiums, it'll get sorted, live for today and tomorrow, we'll fix yesterday.It isn't often you get lows as deep as they've been in and around the uk, or the globe for that matter, embrace it weather friends! You were there!But for Christ sake, don't go hanging off cliffs, walking to the end of flooded piers or swimming in these conditions, you may actually not live to regret it,

Yes it is wearing a little thin now, although I personally prefer it to the groundhog days we had recently, even though I've had damage to my own property, odd I know. I'm convinced we will have a prolonged cold spell before winter is out.

I've a feeling we will all be cold come the end of Jan/early Feb. signals are there, and Mother Nature has a habit of evening things out. No doubt water shortages come May pmsl

I'm gonna have the hump if it snows after midnight, the council have apparently put a curfew on midnight snow watchers imby grhh

Did it settle beast? Not surprised, cold air digging behind and that little feature coming in the mix with some decent elevation. Big thumbs up with some jealousy of course