karlos1983

Not sure what my December total is, I was working away and my Server was turned off so I'm missing some 7 days of Data, when it just happened to rain. Unfortunately my Weather station isn't historical, or at least I don't think it is.... Getting myself a thin client to run it on in next couple of weeks. Total today is 22.1mm

16.8mm so far here, certainly looks like the south east could take the brunt of it, some bright colours lurking in the channel.

You'll be up nice and early then

Was certainly very icy this morning in my neck of the woods,didn't have time to check temps etc, weirdly though the further away from the coast I went, the less Ice there was....

Looking decidedly windy on Monday into the evening, seeing gust nearing 70mph, coinciding with High tide in Poole. Could get some spectacular seas, might have to venture out (safely). http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/poole-harbour-rockley-sand-(beach)-poole#?tab=map&map=GustSpeed&zoom=8&lon=-2.04&lat=50.72&fcTime=1387800000

of course they do, nothing wrong with that. I do like a good storm, anything is better than the big Euro HP bringing us cloudy mild blurrhh imo.

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30.1 mm rain here since it started yesterday. Could be looking at 50mm by the time we dry up in about 24 hours time.

12.7mm so far, radar intensifying

High pressure and mild/hot are welcome everyday in the summer. If I cant get the cold in winter, then it's sideways rain, big seas and Severe gales all the way for me

Good, anything is better than the dross of the last 2 weeks

10.4mm for me so far today, current rain rate of 4.8mm p/hr

Yep identical here, 8.4mm, regular gusts of around 25mph also. Max rain rate of 4.8mm at 16:52

Yep, persistent heavy rain, radar says more more and more to come. much better than the dull weather of late, much more like it!!

Yep, I don't think we will really get a handle on what we can expect for the festive period now until around 13th-16th December, even then we are probably still too far out to be sure. The way I see it in order: 1st place - High Pressure still dominant over Europe with UK in s'westerly flow, but generally dry and 2nd Place - More active Atlantic, pinging between PM and TM flow, mildish, followed by coolish, but pretty unsettled 3rd place outsider - Heights building to our North/North East allowing the NE/E Flow eventually bringing in the cold Just my highly uneducated observations of the models over the past dull few runs, with a bit of gut feeling chucked in for good measure as I won't get slandered for it in here

Yep a pretty good analysis there no question we are locked into this pattern for the next 7 - 10 days, remember all how it took a very long time to shift the heights over Europe in Autumn. Patience required here. pretty good agreement on those Ensembles, the only plus to take from them is they at least start to scatter and generally trend colder after the 13th. The other big plus is it is only 7th December, Especially as recent winters have given decent cold well into March!

Nice set if ensembles right there, just what we needed to see, little steps.

Yikes, pattern looks pretty much nailed to mid month based on that set, start to see a bit more spread after the 15th, but nothing jaw dropping. Would like to point out I am not writing winter or December off, we have all seen how quickly things can change recently.

Probably disagree with that last sentence, October was pretty interesting I recall, especially in our part of the world. Also had some decent Electrical storms in the summer

That's a pretty impressive cold pool heading into the Bay of Biscay at +240 by the GEM, lol, bet Nick S would be happy to BANK that!! Looking cold in Blighty to, especially to the south!

I would say judging by the thick lines drawing the coast line of E Greenland.....not great :-/

Quite a difference on the 18z compared to the 12z GFS 12z 18z

I know, it's like groundhog day at the moment Let's hope we can get a stiff Easterly in followed by a nice channel low around 24th/25th December not to much to ask is it...... And they were all bald ..........

I disagree Garbagebags. For a start If a newbie was to stumble on this page, and cherry pick your post for example, they would think there is no chance of an Easterly. The fact is, there is the chance of an easterly. If you don't think so and are worried about the newbies, at least explain why you think this, apart from "it's in Fl." I'm no expert, far from it, but the charts I've posted a couple of posts back, do indeed show an easterly *could* well be on the cards. many more runs needed, but if you don't play the lottery, you'll never win.

#3. When do I receive my Mars Bar?