Allseasons-Si

This is spontaneously... ..a good run @Scott Ingham,are you mystic meg in disguise or do you own one of these... good call on the Griceland high,well nearly

I sense a disturbance in force...

Reinforcements coming up i feel,look at the renewed amplification going up over Newfoundland. great run so far.

This is more like it,a lot further SE and a better flow.

Hit the nail on the head there DRL and the gfs picked it up at 240 hrs + it is great watching it unfold i looked at the gefs stamps for 144 hrs and they where all bang on with with the positioning of the low dropping in from the NW.

Yes,more positives going forward the 18z at 120 v's 12z 126. Edit:,just to add,there is more lower height's around the Azores propping that ridge up more.

The latest from ICON has more of a NE flow for the SE on Christmas eve evening 18z 96 v's 12z 102 this could enhance the shower activity in said location.

OK guys, raise ya bets

Taking the day ten models at face they look pretty good on the broad scale of things ECM,GEM,gfs and control looking at the EPS clusters to day ten and that's a pretty decent match with trough through the UK and +ve height's to our NW/NE extended so still lots of blocking knocking about latest EPS day ten. OK,who ate all the humble pv pie because there isn't any left to share,...sorry!!!

ECM and gfs @144.

The mean at day ten is a bobby dazzler to me and most of the gefs represent this well.

The mean is more impressive than the 06z 12z 204 v's 06z 216

People stop worrying about the bloody uppers,they will change considerably the closer we get to the time,the synoptic pattern is evolving and i am as much on the bandwagon as anyone else that is wanting the white stuff to fall from the sky anyway,good consistency from both the gfs and control @174 BTW,...who is ZONA LITY...

LOL I was commenting on the Atlantic heights that look similar to 2010,...ready it again without tinted glasses on

At 174,it is impressive now,almost 2010-esk!!!

UKMO and gfs @144. UKMO jumping on the same train which is good to see.

Gfs more amplified than the 06z W.T.F. 12z 126 v's 06z 132.

UKMOOOOOOOOOOO!!! @144.

The ICON slightly more amplified... 12z 168 v's 00z 180.

They keep on putting this date back though Phil,it was the first half of Jan last Wednesday.

Friday 25 Dec - Sunday 3 Jan An area of high pressure is expected over the west of the UK during Christmas Day and Boxing Day, bringing cold and generally dry conditions for most. A few showers may occur in eastern coastal areas, and light rain and stronger winds will affect the northwest. Fog formation and overnight frosts are possible over these days, more so in the south. Towards the new year, a shift to far more unsettled conditions is looking likely. Atlantic low pressure systems could bring potentially stormy weather at times, with strong northerly winds, heavy rain, and potentially snow. These conditions being more severe in the north but could affect all areas of the UK at times. Temperatures either close to or below average for the time of year. Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 20 Dec 2020 Saturday 2 Jan - Saturday 16 Jan Although confidence is low going into the new year, it looks as though high pressure will remain dominant over the UK, meaning dry but cold weather for many parts. This will increase the potential for overnight frosts and fog formation, with the fog possibly being slow to clear during the day. Some periods of wetter weather may develop at times, most likely in the south and east, and with temperatures forecast to remain colder than average, this precipitation could be wintry at times. Towards mid-January, a gradual change to more unsettled conditions is likely with Atlantic low pressure systems moving in from the west, bringing milder temperatures, rain and stronger winds to the UK. Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 20 Dec 2020 Weather and climate change WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Met Office weather forecasts for the UK. World leading weather services for the public.

That's an impressive gefs 06z mean. I'll say no more

The gefs mean at 192.

The 18z drops the trough clear of the UK SE and it's cold all the way through the run,...in fl of course WHAT A RUN. you don't see many charts like these i can tell ya

Good continuity from the gfs i will say that... this is a really great chart though has the gfs been on the Viagra of late or will it wake up on a stiff note in the morning?