Allseasons-Si

Yep... for the Pacific

The control run is setting up what could be epic...

The control run is opening heights up towards Greenland with troughs going under

Yes and before day ten as well,there is a few good one's in there to boot too Steve.

Hay guys,just joined the party.... but i have got to tell that over the last few days,these are the best charts(in fl) i have seen since well... in a decade (2010) and back then they where showing similar i am not saying that we will get a cold spell out of this but it is looking increasingly likely.

Stop beating around the block and get it sorted Anyway, late to the party tonight(after's shift),it took me ages to read in here(I suffer from dry eye syndrome) so it takes me a while)) some great posts again today/tonight,and go @chionomaniacfor some impressive input,not to mention @Catacol too for his superb input,love these guys now for some info,the AO with that Arctic high forecast to be in situ it's clear from the above to me that this will slow the trop pv from gaining a westerly momentum to an easterly,how strong this will be,no one knows yet but one to watch as as a Ural block is still in the game looking at the latest cpc/EPS height anomalies what we want these anomalies to show is more lower heights into Europe(not showing yet) so we will have to wait and see if this changes in the next few days a look at the De-built ECM ens from central Holland to determine what is happening in terms of temps,dew points and wind direction near our local,i always look at these to see if any weather comes from the east(preferable) but other directions too and as you can see the temps are going to rise thanks to a southerly draw of winds but the temps and dew points drop off towards Christmas week,maybe a trough influenced from the north into week two or an easterly source or both? And finally thanks to newcomer @Scott Ingham for your input too and don't be put off by your condition,you are doing a great job and i am glad to here that you studied Meteorology the more knowledgeable people the better that's me done for tonight,same again tomorrow.

Thanks @DiagonalRedLine i don't get all the sniping in here sometimes and it deflects newbies from posting in here that are trying to understand/learn what the weather will be doing anyway the control follows the op in some way in trying to get that ridge going in the Atlantic at day ten.

When you factor in the day ten EPS... there are possibilities.

Even more impressive is that this could end up a 2010 redux... now that would be something!

Impressive...

Purely just for fun... retrogression west of that hp cell coming up with lower heights into Europe propping the high. a fantastic chart,lets see some continuity from here.

Is the gfs sniffing out the EPS clusters here... good dog

And who said that we would get an easterly first then the gfs shows a northerly

Yes it's slightly in fl and just slightly for fun but keep an eye on that atlantic ridge post day ten.

I am glad that you added sometimes although i do think that it picked up on the 2010 cold spell quite well.

Not to mention the 384 hrs gfs charts that show winter narnia and hope that they will come off when the model can't even get it right out to days 4-5.

Ah,thanks,i forgot about that Let's hope that that pudding will rise to the occasion

Yes Scott and some of the EPS clusters(only six tonight) show this then build north...hopefully. the ICON has a more neg tilted trough(less rounded) 120 v's 126. just to add,i did go up to the peak district this morning,first time i have been out for a long walk in ages,most of the snow had melted but there was still a bit up there

You could of posted this to go with it Feb for Feb he! he!

Went up to the peak district this morning for a little stroll up to the coach and horses rock formation and the views was quite clear on the way up to take advantage of some pictures Stanage edge,Derwent Reservoir and Edale with Mam Tor and Kinder Scout in the distance panoramic view then when i got up to the top it was quite misty and drizzly and looked like most of the snow had melted too,i still had a good day out though.

That is one mangled up trop pv on the ECM at just 144 hrs.