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Everything posted by Allseasons-Si
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Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thank nope - still swearing sorry mods but my heart jumped in my throat for a second there thanks @bluearmy. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quite right Mapantz one the day we will know and not sooner,it's always going to be a nowcast in these situations regarding snow falling and/or settling,there is a lot of difference in the two. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
W.T.F moment seriously things are certainly looking up... ay!...looking up at the lamp post i do hope this comes off though. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes it is and in the minority too,i hope this continues we deserve this after so so long without a cold spell,well maybe not that long ago but it feels like an eternity but let's not get ahead of ourselves just yet,yes there are some snow chances/potential at the end of the week and into next weekend and this is the focal point at the moment,what happens after that,who knows,one hurdle at a time i would say but there is certainly better looking prospects going into next month -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Blimey!!! a lock-in anyone,not that we are locked in anyway jokes aside this is good news for an extended Dec cold spell in my book not getting excited though as things can put the mockers on this tiny blighty little island but i am slightly excited -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Latest EPS(i don't have access to the extended) shows just where all the action is taking place(our part of the NH) with strong +ve heights in the Atlantic/Scurasian sector with strong -ve heights disrupting into Europe with trop pv still forecasted over asia and not getting a foothold anywhere near Greenland/N America,interesting times. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
NAO/AO tanking If these upgrades keep on coming in then i might have to change my avatar... now where's my car -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks Mulzy,that's very nice to hear -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You lot laughing at WH's post...it could come to reality -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep And the snowpack still on the ground if any...CRUNCH!!! CRUNCH!!! ECM 850's and pressure... getting close to that magical -5 iso now,looking for slight upgrades on that though but nothing to be sniffed at at this time of the year a pressure rise toward the end so def some frost and possibly some freezing fog as you pointed out. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at the last four runs from the CFSv2 for Dec and it looks like more of the same as what we are going to see this week with troughs disrupting/dropping down from the N/NW in between the two blocks in the Atlantic and Scandinavia. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes,didn't know how that happened and never before has it happened,very strange. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it me or is that Scurasian high getting stronger with each run? if we can get sufficient energy heading more SE then it won't take much tweaking to get a good easterly. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
UKMO identical to this morning's at 144 slight differences being the heights to our E/NE are a bit stronger. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Edit:was they @DiagonalRedLine's images^^^ -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just go to edit and delete the un-appropriate images then click at the bottom of blank space,then backspace until you get to the bottom of your post,i've just done it. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
They appeared in my post too -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No shakey,i would say it is fairly similar to this morning's run(00z) 168 v's 180 i think it's a slight upgrade with more of a neg tilted trough and slightly more amplified off the NE seaboard. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion