Allseasons-Si

I see Paul has posted the NW ones,Also on meteociel Meteociel - Cartes Ensemble GFS (ENS/GEFS) WWW.METEOCIEL.FR meteociel propose des rubriques météo temps réel, forums, modeles... click on gef ensembles(red circle),then diagrams and then point cursor to any location on the map.

ECM day ten... not a bad position as the Atlantic is well and truly A.W.O.L,would love to see the next few frames mind. @swfc,there is your 3000th like

I suspect the ECM day ten chart could be interesting.

Looks like the goalposts have shifted again from a Griceland ridge to Scurasain ridge Blue.

That's why i said cool and not cold but baby steps hey!,all JFF at this stage,

Yes and quiet a big block starting to form over Scandi in the extended with a cool continental feed starting to advect west that pv to the NW would have trouble breaking that down if of course this synoptic was to materialize.

The ICON out first and it is more amplified than the 00z 12z at 168 v's 00z at 180(12hrs diff) let's see what the rest of the 12z show later.

Nov 2010 redux... then we know what followed,,, archive here,run it through. WWW.METEOCIEL.FR Archives NCEP de 1851 à maintenant

Oh!,i think before that 2010 repeat would be a nice icing on the cake but we have been here numerous times at this time of the year when NWP'S show synoptic charts like they are showing now only to get watered down to a wet f**T,lets see what transpires over the coming days/weeks eh! we are in a better place than last winter(atm) but i will keep sitting on the fence for now.

Yes,the 12z gefs mean still signalling a pressure rise to our NE,the postage stamps still has a good few ones in there but Pert 6 has this ^what a chart.

NH view is even better on the eye

The gfs 18z is a lot more amplified than the 12z latest at 294 v's 300,lets see where she goes.

That's a strong +ve pressure anomaly on the control run but the main emphasis is pressure to our NE looking at the mean and gefs postage stamps at 384 hrs all JFF at this stage though but there is again some stonking NH pressure patterns in there have a good day everyone and have a good weekend,well try

The NOAA/CPC are upgrading there MJO plots:- We are in the process of upgrading these plots to provide a more reliable service. The aesthetics of some plots will change over the next several weeks as we roll out the new code base, but the underlying data will be the same. Please send any questions or comments to Kyle.MacRitchie@noaa.gov. Thank you for your patience. some are still the same but the ECM and a few others have changed/upgraded. CPC - Climate Weather Linkage: Madden - Julian Oscillation WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

The gfs ship just misses our Island but NH'y it has a split trop through the Urals and beyond,different to the 12z but the theme is still the same.

Evening all some juicy charts(NH) popping up in the extended on the gfs/gefs 12z and these have been showing up quite regularly for the past few days postage stamps gefs12z at 384 https://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_panel.php?modele=0&mode=11&ech=384 the cpc are slightly coming on board re:-Scandi ridge starting to show it's hand into the extended http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov//favicon.ico Climate Prediction Center - 6-10 Day 500mb Outlook ORIGIN.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV whether this gains a foothold,time will tell a look at the AO and we start to see a tanking into -ve neg values into the extended CPC - Climate Weather Linkage: Teleconnections WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV lastly a look at the De- built ens from the ecm and the easterlies are gaining traction now(black circle),there where flatline westerlies a few days ago http://www.weerplaza.nl//Content/Images/icon-app.png 15daagse Midden - Weerpluim ECMWF-EXPERT | Weerplaza.nl WWW.WEERPLAZA.NL Bekijk de 15 daagse trend Europees weermodel voor regio Midden. Weergave van de ECMWF-EXPERT pluim met de lange... well some think it might be too early for some cold and snow but is it?

Is anyone having trouble with the 18z gfs (stuck at 120)?,the NOAA/cpc site isn't working either.

The gfs 18z is pretty similar to the 12z NH'y wise consistency is key here a look at the NAO/AO and it looks like we have to put up with a strong +NAO/AO on both accounts but looks to return to neutral or even below neutral in the extended.

Yes @Jon Snow,there is some beauties and i cherry picked the cold ones obviously Pert 12,16 the gfs wasn't bad either synoptic wise,do i spot an arctic rabbit in there somewhere and like others have mentioned,the ECM looks promed to retrogress the high west/NW all JFF but they keep on showing good synoptic charts there is nothing lurking in the cpc woodshed though so i am sat on the fence at the mo,too early anyway but if the cold does come mid Nov,i will take it.

The control run deep in the realms of fl... northern Europe into the freezer would be a good start,now can we tap into that cold air?,i wouldn't bet my house on it

West of Palermo,sicily,Italy. Live Cam Mondello Beach - Palermo WWW.SKYLINEWEBCAMS.COM Wonderful view of one of the most beautiful beaches of Sicily

Looks good so far synoptic wise.... just need the temps a little lower.

The latest from the control run... This should be a good finish.