Allseasons-Si

Yes the high looks to be retrogressing west just like the 12z control did.

The ECM doesn't go out as far as the gfs does and hence it's why there is no eye candy talk about eye candy,i am surprised no one posted the control run all JFF but this is what we want to see in future runs,a retrogression of the hp cell to migrate into the N Atlantic.

Arrrgghhh!!! just got in and there is a storm to my NE,cannot see any lightning as it's too foggy!!!

That one slipped by me

And still the same wording in the extended.

And....AGAIN!!! Edit: the dates are the same!

P 25 says the UK and P 10 has that phantom easterly plus there is some interesting 12z ens in there too.

Nope

! maybe if the longevity of the cold was there,still,it would give us both a taste of true winter and it has been a while since we(the UK)had a white Christmas.

Nice,i bet that was nice with the snow capped mountains in the backdrop whilst sunbathing anyway a final one from me until later on when the 18z churns out... check out this festive chart from the cfs JFBF(just for big fun) very La nina esque.

And @carinthian

And beyond!!!...hopefully! but... we are not there yet so lets see what happens over the next few days and not forgetting that failed easterly at just 72hrs out!!!

The cfsv2 monthly mean for Dec has a big Scandi high,just need the lower heights underneath but it is a mean anomaly.

Yes NWS Ecm now smelling the western train but will it deliver that eastern promise

I like the sound of that bit

The control is having a pop at an easterly too.

That is one impressive block to the NE with a very cold pool of -20-22 uppers and 500 dam trough disrupting SE under the block,lots of possibilities on the table p.s,i love you Scandi hp

I never thought of that,i will have a look later.

WOW. full video here:- Then i noticed that it was in 2017 but nice to look at all the same.

BOOM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It's a big improvement across the gefs suit including the op/control WRT more amplification and most of them with some sort of Scandi/Ural blocking and whilst this blocking keeps on showing up in the NWP'S it would likely do some damage to the trop pv further down the line all good model watching at the moment but we know how quickly things can turn sour nearer the time as we all know(well most of us) on the other hand there is some welcome relief at the end of the tunnel in terms of dryer weather of which i am looking forward to,bring on those foggy/frosty nights with lighter winds and some sunshine to boot dare i say it that there is plenty of time for wintry/snowy weather but i don't want to keep on repeating myself every month until March

Yes,just watching out for that re-curve backing SW/W out of Scandi,it wasn't there on the 00z

A latest look at the cpc 500mb anomaly charts days 6-10/8-14 it looks to me that the +ve heights in the extended moves further north into Scandinavia so we could see a wind source from the east a look at the De-built ens shows this and i will take that straddler at -10 wind direction and dew points http://www.weerplaza.nl//Content/Images/icon-app.png 15daagse Midden - Weerpluim ECMWF-EXPERT | Weerplaza.nl WWW.WEERPLAZA.NL Bekijk de 15 daagse trend Europees weermodel voor regio Midden. Weergave van de ECMWF-EXPERT pluim met de lange... how much this hp cell pushes north will determine how much undercutting from the east will advect colder uppers west interesting times.

I don't think that the gfs/p is in the ens Tim as they are in test mode it says this on the gfs/p page in red:- GFS parallel runs are back for GFSv16 testing. WWW.METEOCIEL.FR Meteociel propose des cartes du modèle americain de GFS