Allseasons-Si

Maybe there are signs of a cool down right at the end of the gfs run or is the trop pv monkeying about with us awaits the control/ens.

Lol,and you need one of these to catch it in all seriousness let's get the pattern reset and maybe a cold NW/N shot could be the form horse in a couple of weeks>, with a La nina inprint we could be looking at Atlantic heights up into Greenland,something to keep an eye on on the NWP's

If you want my opinion,the gfs post day ten is OK.

Whist we all drool over fl charts(and me included) we should all come back down to earth until the signal if any is sustained,i said this last night,yes a trend is there for a block to our NE,granted...but i wish that i had so many hands that i could count on how many times Nivana charts show in fl that go puff in magic smoke like Pete's dragon nearer to t+0 the signal was strong back in 2010 on the gfs op/ens and i am not discounting what it is showing now and i would love to believe that it could be true but that winter was an extreme but short lived(boy what a pre-Christmas that was) the synoptic charts show some similarities to that winter with the high retrogressing west then building in the Atlantic and into Greenland(La nina print),we could be on the cusp of a similar scenario and some of the ens show this let's not forget that we are not in winter yet and we are in mid November so anything from a cold/snow perspective leading up to Christmas would be a bonus we know that time flies like back to the future when we are wanting a bit of the white stuff before march comes knocking on the door but i will say this,nothing can beat last years piff,paff,puff and the dragon has gone. a longish post,now i am going to check out the 18z time is ticking for me to get my head down que 18z.

Oh dear!!!

^Let's hope that the gfs is right then but i would suspect that the ECM will be nearer the mark,the patience goes on.

Maybe a northerly will come later as the high retrogresses west into the Atlantic from Scandi due to the lag effect of La nina?

Looking at the gefs stamps at day ten and there isn't that many that take the ECM route as in blowing the block away to the east so is the ECM having a wobble or will it be nearer the mark? meanwhile... i caught Zak viewing the models earlier depositphotos_219938968-stock-video-man-sitting-edge-sofa-amazed.mp4

Maybe we will give it one next time... i wouldn't worry about a day ten charts that won't verify anyway so let's see where it sits in the ens soon.

Not this time,it was suspect when the trough out west wasn't disrupting SE like the 00z.

... ...and we await day ten again

Here we go then,the ecm at 168.

Looks promising...!!! loads of colder opportunities towards the end of the gefs ens. Edit: hold on tight... tight isobars posting

Pert 10

Yeah,reload from the north incoming i reckon.

The control run is perfect from day ten with -ve heights to the south and +ve heights to the north,true easterly incoming.

The control is gunning for the same synoptic as the gfs op,and also look at that day ten mean day ten stamps,plenty going off to our NE. p.S why does my OH want me to cook tea just as the 12z roll out

Different to the 06z but the general theme is still the same,all roads lead to cold... what a stonker that is^ calm down Si

Just got in from work and by god "THAT ECM" at day ten AGAIN!!! gfs op and control too are drooling charts in fl + some of the ens are bonkers but... as a hardened coldy and a long time lurker/poster on here,these charts are pure fantasy and 90-95% of the time they will never materialise yes they are good to look at and i am as excited just as a lot of people are but lets just sit and wait and see what happens over the next few days if the signal keeps on showing then i will take note... and sits back on the fence.

Full on now you've said that

Matt Hugo has written his winter predictions,i would go along with that also posted this in the tweets thread.

Matt Hugo has written his winter predictions,i would go along with that.

The control reads my mind

Control looks more amplified too sorry for the quick post's as i am trying to see to the sunday roast too