East_England_Stormchaser91
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Everything posted by East_England_Stormchaser91
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Surprised this thread isn't busier tbh! This could be quite a severe event through tonight. Level 2's from estofex are quite rare for the UK let's face it! All other models are going for something decent too. Looks as close to a repeat of the 3rd July 1999 as you can get, with a near identical setup.
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Was 7 at the time, now 23, but damn I wish this site and technology existed back then, and had the knowledge I do now! From what I remember, I got woken up, initially too scared to even open my eyes as it sounded that bad. But I remember eventually looking out at it ( as everybody in the house was up and about like OMG!) It was some of the best, clear cut anvil crawlers and CG's I can remember seeing, thinking of it now, quite a bit better than 2 weeks ago. The bloke on that google forum was not wrong about the constant lightning either, I seem to remember the thunder clearing completely, but to the SE and E, it was constant, sky filled with anvil crawlers, CG's, the lot! I recall actually thinking how on earth am I hearing no thunder from this! It was amazing and it has really come back to me how scared and frightened I was I know 'Sprites' on here has got some pictures of that storm too. Surely there must be more people on here in Southern regions that remembered this beast?
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Very similar synoptics to what we could see tomorrow happened on the 3rd July 1999 too, which was an absolute cracker here and for many Southern parts. The charts are almost identical! 3rd July 1999: Tomorrow's potential: A little discussion that was google's equivalent to the convective thread took place back then also, which looked quite phenomenal. Link is below. https://groups.google.com/forum/?hl=en#!topic/uk.sci.weather/UIpaIsxpzPU
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Estofex got it majorly wrong on the night of the 3rd anyway. A level 2 bust happened in Northern France! I wasn't even in the 50% chance lightning zone either but saw more lightning than many previous years combined! Very unlike them I must say, but just shows the unpredictability of forecasting storms.
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Certainly looking likely that this could well be a possible notable event for some. Certainly within the hi res reliable timeframe now. Caution is still remaining with myself however. As we have seen this sort of thing shift eastward at the very last minute on past occurrences, with all the fun and games taking place across the water. Earlier this summer in June being a good example.
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The negativity in here is laughable. Nobody knows what may be one week away. Who would've foreseen the July record being broken on the 1st day of the month, after what looked like endless Northwesterlies would prevail into the month? Best thing to do is to look at the current synoptics and look no more than 90 hours ahead of what is being modelled! Gives a more accurate and less distorted possible outcome.
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The colours of lightning
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Witnessed yellow lightning on that isolated possibly dry elevated storm over Northampton last Wednesday in the small hours of the morning. Friday nights beast had pink and lilac coloured along with blue. The thunder along with that was incredibly loud also.- 37 replies
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European Heatwave
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Fourty Point Three Degrees's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
45c lol. Now that would take some doing! Would be like a 1/200,000 chance of it occurring I'd say though. Sea temps would need to be high enough, uppers would need to be 20c plus for a few days at least and wind direction would need to be slack and continuously S/SE. -
Looks like Kent may well get clipped by this plume mass with a few bits of thundery activity soon. Meanwhile, Germany is about to go into meltdown this afternoon probably! That stuff over the SW also looks to head NE over the afternoon, so the Midlands into Lincolnshire don't look too bad this evening perhaps.