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Captain Shortwave

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Everything posted by Captain Shortwave

  1. Captain Shortwave
    Day 6 charts GFS UKMO GEM GFS ens Looking good. GFS does have one niggle for eastern areas as you wouldn't want an easterly setting up in an ideal world as this could bring cloudy skies quite far inland. GEM is fantastic and would bring plenty of sunshine with pleasant days and enough chill at night to remind you that it is only early March
  2. Captain Shortwave
    Morning, nice frosty start this morning. Looks like a nice day today. Had a progress meeting with my line manager yesterday which I was worried about, though I probably shouldn't have been as the feedback has been very positive. Back to the standard stuff today
  3. Captain Shortwave
    GFS wants to put high pressure over and just to the east of the UK into week 2 GEM similar ECM currently stuck at day 6 but looking the same way to me
  4. Captain Shortwave
    ECM back in the high pressure game tonight And into day 9/10 too
  5. Captain Shortwave
    Morning, clear start to the day, hoping for some decent storms today
  6. Captain Shortwave
    Evening all, fantastic weekend spent down in Benfleet, met a lot of my girlfriends relatives which was fun if a little nerve-wrecking. The weather has been good too, especially yesterday when we were in London. I hear some wild weather is coming, hopefully proper spring will arrive soon
  7. Captain Shortwave
    Good start ECM We might have a route out developing here. T192 Finally a decent chance of something much drier developing.
  8. Captain Shortwave
    Well it's been raining all day. Goodbye winter 2013/14, you will not be missed.
  9. Captain Shortwave
    Light rain here, nothing of note at the moment, no snow (surprise surprise)
  10. Captain Shortwave
    Well lights are off and I can see nothing. On another note there is frost on the cars outside. Off to bed now. Goodnight
  11. Captain Shortwave
    I can only dream, all I have is a Kia Might stay up until past midnight to see whether turning off the street lights reveals anything special.
  12. Captain Shortwave
    Screw it... BANK!!!! I guess I have to resume the position and accept rotten fruit projectiles now
  13. Captain Shortwave
    Nope, we actually have a decent Atlantic trough developing resulting in the building of some robust Euro heights Southerly winds bringing pleasant sunshine and chilly(ish) nights. I would take that to be honest. Though the chances of this verifying are slim as more likely the strong jet off the states will suppress ridging like it has all winter pretty much.
  14. Captain Shortwave
    Evening all, reasonable day with just a few showers and light winds. Winter looks set to end in predictable style, persistent steady to heavy rain all day.
  15. Captain Shortwave
    So as the records stands, this winter has been the wettest and also the 5th warmest since records began. A car crash of a season as someone who really does not like Autumnal weather, to get 3 extra months of it is truly sickening
  16. Captain Shortwave
    ECM has binned the building of high pressure in week 2 sigh All aboard the zonal train
  17. Captain Shortwave
    Morning all, wet start to the day here. Oh man, what happened after I went to bed. There is just no need for stuff like that in the model discussion thread. Tamara road, I always read and respect your posts and viewpoints and are usually very close to the mark. It's a big loss to the thread to lose you, still if you continue to post here then we still get to read your insights and it's the MAD threads loss
  18. Captain Shortwave
    The rain (or snow) on Friday looks set to affect anywhere from Swansea to Kings Lynn southwards. UKMO GFS Possible snow over higher locations but probably rain at low levels unless you are lucky. Further on, there is some signs of pressure building from the south west in some shape or form after a spell of chilly weather. ECM GFS GEM
  19. Captain Shortwave
    I have to admit a lot of doubt over snow potential for Friday morning, I think it will be more down to evaporative cooling than anything else as everything looks very marginal and predicted maxima look too warm for anything worthwhile at low levels. Saying that in March 2012 on a journey home from Portsmouth to Southampton I did experience a spell of heavy wet snow after a thoroughly wet morning. It didn't settle but it was quite exciting for watch so maybe some people might get lucky. From a personal point of view, I would rather be done with this winter and take some kind of blocking high close to the UK like the later frames of the ECM as the only real shots of cold we seem to get is route one from the state which always makes things marginal but one definite is a lot of rain. The ECM ensembles show a more north/south split developing but frankly how much trust can be said about the extent of any drier weather.
  20. Captain Shortwave
    We seem to be heading back towards low pressure pushing straight through the UK with the ECM now lining another one up
  21. Captain Shortwave
    Morning, clear start to the day here, actually had a thunderstorm yesterday afternoon too
  22. Captain Shortwave
    In January maybe, but at the end of February with the continent currently experiencing double figure maxima to nearly that point I would put snow chances at around zero. UKMO is just gruesome for the south. ECM has also gone all Pete Tong, better prep the canoe again.......
  23. Captain Shortwave
    Oh well the ECM has gone from dry to zonal in week 2 I'm guessing we should pull the plug on this model Chilly airmass, though I personally have my doubts about the depth of cold being shown.
  24. Captain Shortwave
    Morning, bright and mild start to the day. Given that February is almost at an end, it looks likely that winter will end on a mild note in what has in my opinion been the worst winter I have ever experienced. Bring on Spring and summer warmth
  25. Captain Shortwave
    Well we are back to the Azores high building in again this morning GFS more progressive with the Atlantic jet and hence more developed high to the south Not really a cold spell now with the 850's not even reaching -4C in the south, maybe wintry showers over the hills in the north for a time.
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