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ciel
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Posts posted by ciel
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@howham Yes, I was surprised how warm and sunny it has been today, hereabouts anyway. I had a walk in Glen Lethnot this afternoon and the car registered 24C in the car park there, which is at some height. Very pleasant it was with just a slight refreshing breeze and good visibility.
The sky was clouding over, however, on the way home around 16.30 with a bank of Cu to the west and north. The temp held up at 22C.
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Tonight's sunset pic
- after a warm 20C calm evening.
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I appreciate that undertaking physical work during this warm, muggy spell is difficult, but on the other hand I do prefer this weather type to persistent grey sky, cold drizzle or gales. For example, I was able to sit outside comfortably on Saturday evening wearing a frock (a rare occurrence
) without cardy or jacket.
Foggy, no wind to speak of and temp 16C early this morning, but I see cooler weather may be set to filter down.
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3 minutes ago, Blitzen said:
Morning all!
What a wonderful day for a garden party! As they say in this neck of the woods, 'It's fair stotting!' Had a look at the radar, and it looks as if it is ever so slowly moving WNW and may leave Fife in the clear, though cloudy, soon?
Indeed! It is dry here now, tho', and I am hopeful of it staying that way with, perhaps, a sunny spell this afternoon, at least for the happy campers.
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4 hours ago, Tamara said:
A bit of balance might be required, not unusually, for this thread:
1) Starting from round about now, the weather is on a fast track improvement for many and one thing is certain is that it is going to become very warm, and decidedly hot for some. Excepting of course those furthest north west who are ones to maybe have some justification for feeling a little left out and have reason to moan.
2) Whilst the odds on an extended heatwave scenario continuing from late this coming week have clearly reduced over the last 24 hrs, the latter part of this week nevertheless remains an NWP minefield - and there is not yet consensus on precisely how things are going to pan out.
3)The 'worst case' scenarios still look to manage low to mid 20s for many next weekend even when the greatest heat is 'swept away' These sort of temps have graced much of the month so far, again for quite a few (if not always all) and are a far cry from the dismal first two to three weeks of June.
4) The latest ECM operational is a least progressive and one of the warmest favoured solutions, but it is not far fetched in its evolution (as I commented with this type of scenario the other evening) and even its ensembles still suggest (currently) something very warm persisting into the following week - with the uppers remaining above 10 right throughout next weekend for many central and eastern parts.
Yes these temperature numbers are for London, in the most favoured SE region, but they illustrate some perspective of how much the 'cool down' might be
'Normal service' ie low 20s is not suggested until well into the following week on these - though as a snapshot in time they are of course subject to change....either way..
5) Its worth bearing in mind that the FV-3 ensembles have performed a spectacular volte face in 18 to 24 hrs and moved the heat zone more than several hundred miles in that time later next week. So whilst caution is required with any snapshot in time NWP ensemble suite, it certainly applies also to the FV-3 here. Starting with that secondary low from midweek... This caution equally applies to the other modelling, including the UKMO at day 6.
6) The diagnostic approach, which I favour, cannot help further with a scenario like this because the full range of micro scale numerical solutions on offer for the UK all fit within the macro scale range of the diagnostic at what is a relatively short distance for such non numerical evaluation. Just a 100 to 200 miles lee-way, either way in this sort of situation, could make some very big differences when trying to dissect the fortunes of a tiny island at a crossroads to a huge wind-swept ocean one side, and a hot and humid landmass the other.
7) With that in mind, maybe a good idea to enjoy the coming days (if like me who are a big fan of this type of weather), rather than already be thinking its over before its barely begun. And especially when specifics later this week still are not wholly certain. Living in the moment doesn't come easy with weather pattern watching, and especially for quite a few on this thread - but weather enthusiasm is also about life itself and appreciating the here and now, when so much worse can happen in the real world than how long a heatwave lasts. Again, in weather terms, those furthest north and west will not gain much consolation in that - but for the UK there are always winners and losers as it is rare to have a whole island witnessing the same conditions at any given time with our maritime climate.
This submission just summarises, with added verbiage, a few lengthy paragraphs and a wee bit philosophy, what others have posted.
How, for example, has the diagnostic approach enhanced the understanding of current weather conditions ? I'm all ears and am very interested in tele' impacts on the weather.
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Actually, my part-time neighbour is having a 70th bash next Saturday also! - starting with an afternoon bbq. Numerous family members and friends have been invited, many from afar. My back garden is serving as an overflow camp-site, apparently, and I have also been roped in to providing some indoor accommodation if required.
So fingers crossed at least for dry weather.
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13 hours ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:
Forecast map for tomorrow, 2pm - 8pm intense rainfall with possible flooding & frequent lightning
hopefully @CatchMyDrift finally sees something thundery
Good forecast KW....currently a few distant rumbles through the steady moderate rain.
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Many thanks @Kirkcaldy Weather for the very helpful link.
I did have a search around the net, but most of the info I found was unintelligible (to me anyway
)
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I was wondering if anyone could shed any light on this issue.
Yesterday I lost internet connection during the thundery/heavy showers episodes. After the connection was restored I was still unable to access my mailbox until mid morning today. I understand my connection is directly to the exchange and not to a green box
My query is whether or not such weather can impact access to the internet.
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There's a fresher feel outside today with a temp of 16C, a cool breeze, sunny glimpses and still loads of towering CUs around - expecting rain before long.
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It’s been an afternoon of short-lived torrential showers, warm sunny interludes and an intermittent gusty wind – two thunder-claps heard.
The skyscapes have been beautiful, but, swathes of barley have been flattened in the neighbouring field.
….and I had a few periods of internet down.
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@knocker I would tend towards Chiffchaff as opposed to Willow Warbler on account of the blackish legs and poorly defined supercilium.
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44 minutes ago, Northernlights said:
However all the rain and the warmer nights of the last 10 days has led to some tropical growth wth the banks and edges of fields plus crops exceeding the height of fences and dykes.
Yes, a scythe would have been useful on my riverside walk earlier this week at Birse.
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A swealtery but pleasant humid day here, although temps just around 21-22C.
Some convective cloud from this evening as viewed from the garden;
Hoping for some clear sky later to view the partial lunar eclipse.
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It's been a beautiful day in Kincardineshire, some cloud, slightly hazy but long sunny spells and a temp of 23-24C.
The countryside at the moment is very lush and verdant around the Birse area and the Feugh Water.
Bridge over the Feugh.
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18 minutes ago, Mattwolves said:
Its all academic at this range anyway!! I'm only looking for positives right now. Its been dull and overcast for literally 7 days here now, and probably for a few on here. So I'm basically hunting for something decent down the line.
If you only want to look for positives, refer yourself to another thread. There's nothing academic about it.
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I thought this was supposed to be an 'objective' model output discussion thread - regardless of season or personal preferences.
There is a ramping/moaning/hunting thread available for waffles.
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11 minutes ago, shuggee said:
Wet overnight, damp morning. Sun now coming out and quite humid
Much the same here, but unfortunately no sooner than the sun appears, the clouds billow up and threaten rain!
At least it's not cold or windy - small mercies.
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A nice sky earlier this evening.
Actually it was warm enough underneath that for a meal on the patio.
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^ Spoke too soon - very dark again and a couple more rumbles here!......and another shaking the house.
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After an hour or so of torrential rain bursts, rumblings, flickering lights and one flash, the storm appears to have passed.
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Visited Kildrummy Castle today, well, the car park, but under a grey sky, chilly brisk wind and a temp of 11C, decided not to pay for the privilege of hiking up the hill.
Opted instead for a woodland walk near Ordie/Dinnet.
There was a gradual improvement later in the afternoon with occasional glimpses of the sun and the temp soaring to 16C.
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Goldfinch fledglings
learning the ropes
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No heat records were broken here, warm in the morning, around 18C, but a waft of cloud/fog ingressed from the north and north-east during the afternoon – then cleared - leaving a sunny 20C late afternoon and early evening.
On the east coast earlier during the morning at Arbroath it was a mere 14C.
Now overcast, but still feeling mild-ish and humid.
Altogether it was a typical Scottish summer day.
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- after a warm 20C calm evening.
) without cardy or jacket.
)
Observations Of Nature Through The Seasons.
in Space, Science & nature
Posted
I think it's patchy though. Apart from an influx of Painted Ladies in June, a few Small Whites, and as noted elsewhere, a very localised colony of Small Torties, butterflies have been pretty scarce. I've not seen a single Peacock yet, a species which is usually quite common hereabouts.