Barry12

The famous Auwinter of 1896 had one of the worst storms Britain has seen in over 200 years, so it's a distinct possibility that it will happen again, at some point.

The season we've all been waiting for, between the Autumn and Winter. What do you think Auwinter 2014 has in store for us?

Let's be honest, the QBO, PDO and other stuff don't tell us anything.

It's almost Autumn and after that is the season of Winter. So what are your thoughts and predictions for Winter 2014/15?

It's nearly May, it's not going to snow!

Good job its 10 days out and won't verify

Another April 2011 would be nice, not sure it will be that warm though

Warm air from Africa, with temperatures soaring into the early 20's sounds good The mean is playing catchup

After the bitter cold snap this weekend causes temperatures to plummet to 9C, it looks likely that high pressure will build in again during next week. I predict this will be hard to shift and will last into April.

High pressure will build in again, bringing warm and dry weather into April is my prediction

One ensemble member predicts that at T+384, I certainly wouldn't worry about it, unless of course you worry about getting struck by lightning.

Not to be a negative nelly, but the projected cold weather is 6 days away, how many times over the Winter have we seen the cold downgraded? People are acting like the cold weather is confirmed.

High pressure dominated, with temperatures in the high twentys/early thirtys.

Fair enough

Frosty, the polar maritime air you talk about will make it slightly cooler, but nothing else. I don't get why you would rather have cool and wet instead of mild/warm and dry, especially after having the wettest winter in 100 years. The second half of March was supposed to be cooler, but all I see is high pressure slipping away for a day or two before returning again.

But in reality we all know come the 22nd it will be completely different from what that chart shows.

The breakdown continues to be pushed back. In the reliable high pressure is here to stay. Any cold is way out in FI, so it's getting a bit desperate now.

We've had 3 days in a row of blue skies and sunshine here

How do you know that?

ECM now has no cold snap, I did say not too get to excited as it's FI. The breakdown of the high pressure is being delayed more and more.

You do realise winters over?

The GFS 18z has delayed the breakdown of the high pressure, still with us for England and Wales at T+168

In a few billion years when the sun has expanded.

Why people would rather have cool and wet, over warm and dry is completely beyond me. All winter the models were showing cold in FI, which in the end either never materialised or the cold was seriously moderated down by the time we got to the timeframe. So unless this cold get's into the reliable which is T+120 in my opinion, then I don't see why anyone should get excited. In the reliable high pressure is with us keeping things mild and dry, after that it will most likely turn cooler, but nothing special and not cold enough for snow apart from over maybe northern hills.