bryan629

Thats a nice pretty red blob showing up on the Icon for tomorrow.. heads through the region as well. maybe something, maybe nothing

@julesyes they are... a bit confuzzling really as Thursday has the coldest uppers and a strengthening wind due to low pressure down south.. would have thought showers by then would be really pepped up and driven right over to west coast. I think the whole of the east side of England should be under an Amber. or maybe im expecting too much from a lake effect

now an amber warning issued for thursday... north yorkshire only ...apart from north east as well .

https://twitter.com/TheSnowDreamer/status/967729974240272385 ok , so i dont know how to copy and paste a tweet lol , yorkshire should not have any problems at all with a much longer sea track @sausage

well i hope by the end of the week our lass wont be too inconvienienced putting the washing out in fact if she is really good i might even let her in

whats your location ?

Icon 6z brings in a nice dollop of snow early doors Tuesday. looks like its heading South west towards North Wales

I agree its destined for the bin... it is just one run amongst many more to come.. just cant help it though when i looked in the bin i saw this hahah

what models are showing this DSP ... can you eloborate for me please

Sorry Guys, could not help this from the CFS .. its just so disgustingly , jaw droppingly good.... Easterly winds from Europe ploughing their way into the Labrador sea.. model porn at its finest

Hi Nick, out of all the 12z today , i found ECM act quite aggressively with the EPO ..around 120-144 mark... its like it retrogressed a good thousand miles in 24 hours ..what do you think ?

Control whips up a 1055 over scandi around the same time ...

Light snow in Leeds at the mo.... i thought the front had arrived early, but wierdly on looking at the radar ... this snow has slid in from the northeast and pepping up a little as it moves inland .

Well ,well, gfs is looking great for northern england a bit of an upgrade i would suggest as the uppers from the NW seem to catch up with the front, which seems to be slowing down as well, and mix out the marginal uppers, undercutting perhaps, which benefits us greatly. Not suggesting it will happen , just going by the current Gfs run. Fingers crossed and all that Looking forward to the strat impacts too, really hope the pro`s are right and we end up with a very memorable February, maybe March as well Any way i`ll just leave these here and hope we get verification

Like for like GFS in 24 hours from this time yesterday 12z 06/01/18 12z 07/01/18 168 yesterday 144 today Thats a WHOPPING great big difference in just 24 hrs , lots to be resolved..!!

Huge differences between the ECM and GFS anomolies at day ten upstream. Ecm shows a weak Alutian/Alaskan ridge , with an obvious stagnating HP over the uk , energy exiting Canada rides over the top , but also tries to dig south mid atlantic. Gfs shows a whopping Alutian/Alaskan ridge with the high the ECM has now retrogressing towards Greenland , with energy exiting Canada either stalling out west or possibly heading south east. Obviously one of these are very wrong ( or both) Heres the European look Insert

same here cheese.. settling nicely as well

its a model , like all models they do have their own bias...i dont need luck , the weather will do what it wants... im just showing what is more than likely inevitable ..not what you anticipate ok !!

Absolutely, the last time i saw a pivot similar to this was March 2013.. with a slight easterly drift like what is being modelled, not as good as 2013 though but should produce a concertina effect up against the pennines

Gfs is steadfast it hasnt moved north or south ...same position . the window of adjustments is just about closed now, dont believe all you read on the mod thread. we are stuck with snow on sunday weather we like it or not ... its going to happen terrier.. so get your sledge out

The 18z hasn`t deviated one little bit from the 12z regarding snowfall for Yorkshire, still has the pivot and keeps us almost 24 hours non stop snowing .. now that would be a reet treat

Cheese rice need to get a train ticket haha

Hi Guys. Well the GFS 12z was just brilliant for Yorkshire, slap bang in the sweet spot for the pivot of the slider. I know it will probably change next run or maybe not !! but looking at the below charts thats almost 24 hours non stop snow.. no wonder the accumulation charts are showing between 6 and 14 inches ... and at least some snow starved folk darn sarf will be in with a shout as well

potential for a polar low in the relaible `ish

Just to illustrate a trend that the models appear to be advertising, Heres the ECM ang GFS at 192 as it looks like the trop vortex is setting up shop in its usual location west of Greenland and no doubt ready to fire up the jet stream. However, By 240 ECM and a little later with the GFS , this process is quickly halted as it is very evident below that (a) the trop vortex is been shunted across the pole to the Siberian side or (b ) it just gets ripped apart anyway Either way it makes ridging into the vacant space a lot more likely and perhaps give our neck of the woods a good shot of an early bite of the cherry. We shall see !! Its good to know something may be lurking in the woodshed so early in the season.. .