DanDorsetUK

Living on the Coast drives me bonkers when you see things like this! North Dorset looks good as normal though. Wednesdays outlook.

Certainly looks that way, been waiting to see the signs of this. It will be a fast response.

Great Tweets from Marco Petagna just now. Regarding SSW. And Glosea

Nice wording from the Met Office on the app right now for my location Bournemouth. Chances all week by the sounds of things. Just seeing some flakes falling I'll be happy with. Will most definitely come down to Radar watch all week. Like a few posts have already mentioned this is a slow developing situation. Model disagreements will continue for some time while the SSW is cooking nicely. I still feel were on the brink of pretty major cold spell of weather right through January.

Well next Saturday shows an eastily feed on the met office app. That's good enough for me! Also anyone thinking the GFS run is correct need to hold of in there way of thinking for 48hrs or so. There is absolutely no way its going to be correct. There is going to be a major change across all models very soon for the better with a destroyed PV. Sit back n wait stay on the wine n beers, it's all going fine.

For what it's worth my Met office App this past hour has knocked off 2oC for next Fridays max daytime temp for the South Coast Bournemouth area. It was showing 5oC this afternoon, now it's only showing 3oC. That's quite a swing to much colder daytime temps.

Looking through the models this evening i still see no definitive signs of SSW influence. Regardless of whether it becomes a displacement or split you will soon see a very sudden obvious change. Looking at our potential starting point for SSW influence we should be in a very good position when that time comes. I think it wont be long maybe a couple of days untill they begin to play with this scenario. Also looking at the amount of instability on the live satellite coming in now i would not be surprised to see more locations affected by snow come Monday. Things all looking very promising from where I'm looking.

I see Met office revised the wind warning for tonight for the south west by 2 hours beginning 8pm rather than 10pm. Thats quite a big time jump at short notice. Interesting.

Got to laugh at the ridiculous comments again here this morning. Absolutely nothings changed. The charts that were showing had no likelihood of being correct just as much as the less amplified ones are! Think people seem to be forgetting there is an SSW on the cards which will completly change the pattern anyway. The favourable outcome is for the warm to be pushed back with cold conditions with snow chances possible all inline with the Met Office update. Anyone saying it's going to be Antlantic dominated weather seriously need to chill out and look at the bigger picture. There is more likelyhood of that not happening, let alone the fact this is the 0z run on the back of Xmas day where I wouldn't be surprised of less manual data being added into the models for the last 2 days. I'm very confident were in for a significant cold spell just beginning.

Always nice to see American meteorologists commenting about our weather. Scott Sabol telling the UK to buckle up.

When you actually just stand back for a moment take in what's actually going on with the bigger picture even before the SSW hits and look at where this could actually be heading is quite phenomenal. We are quite literally going to see an obliterated polar vortex at this rate. God only knows what lies ahead through January. We've not been in a position like this for many years.

You know we're thinking it

Hell to the yeah! Shows we could get a surprise next week down here yet!

Well its us Amateurs vs the Met Office now then! Game on!

Think the Metoffice have lost the plot to be honest even there statement yesterday was crazy. Time will tell

I agree with you Scott, obviously we have all got different opinions, but I have a feeling we could well be looking at a historic winter setting in. The potential when you look at everything on the horizon that could unfold has certainly got my attention!

As far as I'm concerned the Met Ofiice need to show some balls here. We have a very real possibility of a severe winter setting up. Covid supplies and people being able to get jabs could become a real issue. Think Mr Borris could do with being informed even if it doesn't come off. Double the salt deposits for major roads etc etc

The first rule of cold club is you do not talk about Zonal. The 2nd rule of cold club is you do not talk about Zonal.

Good grief woke up, checked the model thread and first thing you read its looking flat and Zonal. Not good for the nerves!

Every 0z Run!

Agreed, and on that note I'm packing my bags already this year. Seen enough. To many fickle members on this site all trying to compete. Never understand time and time again how people get so excited over fantasy charts that never come off. All a bit of a laughing stock really. I'm going back to 90s style lampost watching and looking out the window every day. It was far more accurate! All the best everyone have a great crimbo!

Complety agree with this, which coresponds with video presentation I posted this afternoon. First week of January is where there is alot of interest.

Very poorly written that! They state low confidence yet go on to say milder and unsettled is the most likely outcome. They haven't got a clue and shouldn't be favouring anything!

Gavsweathervids on YouTube are well worth a watch, he goes into alot of detail in his presentations. This one based on the EC 30 day extended forecast is really worth a watch especially towards the end for those who would like more explanation of what its showing and his take on it. Shows why many were excited by it for those learning.

Yeah found it click on account then it's at the bottom.