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Ali1977

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Everything posted by Ali1977

  1. Ali1977
    The GEM and some ENS look open to colder possibilities by day 10/11
  2. Ali1977
    The likes of Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey, Northern Greece are having a brutal cold spell, and the whole GFS run keeps them in -8/12c uppers
  3. Ali1977
    Yes that big Russian high is trying to head our way, along with the cold!! b
  4. Ali1977
    As expected the northerly toppler has disappeared on the 12z that was showing on the 06z, HP still in charge at day 8. We’re FI hunting for a while yet me thinks!!
  5. Ali1977
    Well it’s a short lived cold shot at day 8/9, plenty snow in mid/north Scotland but it looks like reverting to the bore fest beyond that!!
  6. Ali1977
    Well this is different by day 8, compared to the last run Is that a proper PM shot incoming , albeit short lived
  7. Ali1977
    Not a huge area of heights but goes to show that we don’t need great sets ups to produce the goods. -8c uppers throughout most of this run, so conducive of snow in the whole U.K. Just one ensemble from one run but a good example of average Synoptics giving nationwide snow
  8. Ali1977
    Going Zonal isn’t a bad thing and we should expect temps to rise as we lose the colder nights. We need to get rid of the U.K./Euro HP as with that still in place we have no chance, so a spell of Zonal is a step in the right direction hopefully!! The zonal set up looks good for the Cairngorms at least with the snow row back in the 20s into Feb - I imagine Feb is the best month to profit from PM type flows as the sea is at its coldest and the NH is at its coldest
  9. Ali1977
    I quite like the luck of clusters 1 and 2 in the extended, gets rid of our HP as well as Europe’s - plenty snow opportunities in a colder NW’ly type set up - maybe ??
  10. Ali1977
    No idea, no sign of anything building to the NE yet - maybe we need to be looking for ridges again and hoping they get high enough into the Arctic to topple into an easterly !! I’m still hoping all this weirdness leads to a sting in winters tail, that no one expected - even the METO
  11. Ali1977
    It all moves East though, probably wrong but if not this is indeed a very good thing - much easier to build heights in behind it, and this also brings the cold very close to our North should we get any PM type flow.
  12. Ali1977
    FI, but some more ENS with amplification in better places this run - T300s below. Control could end up a belter, v unlikely obviously!!
  13. Ali1977
    Well at least the NH PV looking a bit more battered in this run - comparing it to the 06z
  14. Ali1977
    I think if we stopped model watching for 10 days we’d still Be looking at a boring FI the way this is going!! Lots of time left for decent freezes but March freezes need much better Synoptics than a Feb one - im not giving up hope just yet.
  15. Ali1977
    Definitely missing the excitement in here when we are in thecreoiabke of a good freeze/snow event - sadly lacking for most this year. I only hope that Feb and March smash us, we haven’t had a warm winter with an El Niño in the state it’s in, so let’s get that CET down to 0 in Feb, which will no doubt get a slow start
  16. Ali1977
    Quite a few ENS building heights up into and thru Iceland at T174, the mean showing this. It will probably come to nothing no doubt!! A few examples here, inc the control
  17. Ali1977
    Can that little trigger, trigger a change
  18. Ali1977
    Colder uppers quite well into the U.K. at T90 now , with quite a few snow showers in the NE Scotland Even the east coast getting in the action for snow
  19. Ali1977
    We just need the ECM and EPS to jump away from those depressing charts, the GEFS have showed many great charts the last few days and finally the ICON shows a little promise
  20. Ali1977
    Day 10s, not deep FI
  21. Ali1977
    Lots of very good ENS, even by day 10
  22. Ali1977
    Cold topplers moves slightly west again, no real snow but will certainly be cold!!
  23. Ali1977
    Oh yes, much more interest this morning
  24. Ali1977
    The ICON trough was a little closer at T120 with an adjustment west, the GFS is a little more amplified at T84 around Newfoundland but not sure that’ll help more of the U.K. tap into the cold later next week - can’t see any snow other than possible light flurries in the far NE of Scotland , but it may help with sharper frosts !!
  25. Ali1977
    It’s quite incredible after the last few weeks that they agree so closely at day 6!!
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