Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

tight isobar

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,411

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    15

 Content Type 

Everything posted by tight isobar

  1. tight isobar
    Get the full set of 12z in b4 misery- or indeed euphoria.
  2. tight isobar
    Yeah for sure the 1st 12z- German model is an upgrade all round
  3. tight isobar
    The BBC are using somewhat “stale data in their forecast. Further they will have to be as sparing as possible this far out- due to contingency planning disruption etc… as for what we are seeing atm- the 850 hpa syncs are ripe from around north London/ Home Counties through to southern/ mid wales northward. Anyway that all speculation.. as engagement of any lps are unknown for- geographical pinpoint in the uk atm… over to the 12z suites..
  4. tight isobar
    Indeed it did I’ll post the outs from 2010 later- with that notability.current output has all the signal as/ dyanamics for a similar poise. @ cold extension.
  5. tight isobar
    6z could be a corker- the squeeze is on- but the rewards could be high- cold spillage is looking good
  6. tight isobar
    That channel lps- is looking mouthwatering
  7. tight isobar
    In the short / medium term this tool @10m vents will be crucial- this being the gfs6z@126hrs- and we see vent access as a driver undercuter… all important for alignment of sequencing factors for what falls out of the sky… things certainly look reasonably promising via this type of out…
  8. tight isobar
    Some true battleground scenarios now coming into focus. And as per- height/ dew points/ bulbs will be the precipitation falling factor! Snow will certainly be on the menu for some… perhaps many 6z gfs.
  9. tight isobar
    A resurgence of blocking on the ecm 00z- can only be a good thing. It seems a lot is on the collies side this season
  10. tight isobar
    Gfs perhaps the odd 1 out this morning- in regards to allowance of azores/Atlantic influence and format breakdown. And the ec out to 144 looks good also. 144 certainly the break off point this morning.
  11. tight isobar
    They are still “ upper airs “ as they are above 2m.
  12. tight isobar
    Forget the uppers it’s the jet profile- as the azores wants to poke its nose in..
  13. tight isobar
    Indeed- there’s scope brewing for a full on lengthy spell now- if it runs - the uk and parts of Europe are locked in- and any cold will continue in intensity…. Good this evening .. so far.
  14. tight isobar
    There she is@blizzard of January 1881 that crippled middle England /wales southward..,
  15. tight isobar
    The 6z ones- nowt too much to worry about there
  16. tight isobar
    Yeah certainly operational mismanagement from the 6z looks highly likely .. let’s hope so anyway!
  17. tight isobar
    But.. as I keep on banging- that soon to be broken off energy/ shortwave ejection out of the Canadian plot… needs all eyes… 4 better.. or indeed worse rolling 4wards..
  18. tight isobar
    The 6z gfs is FAR from a horror show the inter runs are now conpacting so you’ll see some frame 2 frame mass variables… watch the ens sure things up.. as the ops now go somewhat into overdrive-and hopefully some nerves settle…
  19. tight isobar
    There is ample sequence for filling now for a decrease in the 850s plots.. a good illustration is via the 10m vents- the notion is becoming a good dynamic for inter flows to reinvigorate the notion.. so I’d expect a quite sudden note of the above as we go through even today’s suites!!
  20. tight isobar
    Apologies these are 18z although the 00z are comparable
  21. tight isobar
    The short ones ooz- ecmwf-some of the most notable drop clusters I’ve seen since…. I won’t say the year!!!!!
  22. tight isobar
    Maybe not in this particular out/ Run - but certainly something to be watching going forward
  23. tight isobar
    Yup..
  24. tight isobar
    However can we get a break of energy/ singular shortwave dipping south here- that’ll be an interesting scenario!!!
  25. tight isobar
    168 a fantastic chart- and that finger of 850 noting the want of draw .. however as I mentioned last night that energy out of Canadian point-could rapidly scupper things as we move forward!!
×
×
  • Create New...