tight isobar

I’m not too partial either- the MET However hold it in “ High regard “.

The gfs takes the lps even further south early nxt week… so the cold hangs on?!.. then it really is an open book thereafter.

Expect to see even more fruitful Synoptics going into December- fairly soon there is a northern hem/ vortex distruption format to be beholden

The strain on the vortex is clear @10 December ..some serious waving !

The Irish met could be correct- as future evolution has a signal for Scandinavian heights- that sadly leaves Ireland only on the cusp of any notable cold.@ easterly/ north easterly inflow.

Trigger point- this could be one of thee sparse times the Atlantic/ ejecting energy could be your friend! The azores coaxed towards scandi.keep an eye 👁 on this in future outs!.

Ditto this- as again the signal remains @ 2nd week onwards - and some could say increasing.@ possibly Scandinavian rises.

EPS rolling.. and just 4 now the 12z MSTs let’s hope this is of view going forward…

Signal’s ……. The ec 12z @240. Yeah it’s la- la land in model dynamics…. But the signal is there…. @ Let’s get to Scandinavian heights …

Some outliers as you will know- start as a laughable stock… until you get a sister operational start singing the same/ similar song- over 2 the ec.

My eye has been firm in this potential evolution-.. and it’s more than a feasible out… keep watching.. be interesting to see what the ec12 makes of heights alignment in and around the top geographical of scandi.,.

This is gaining momentum…

Just a quick glance at the ecm 6z for 1st December. Via jet stream -2m temperatures- and 500 geopoential height, via global 3D…

Morning, will be my very 1st season in this thread- as I now reside in west oxfordshire/ and occasionally Uxbridge, middlesex however more so in the former now.( Bampton -ox. Anyway some interesting developing scenarios for the region Thursday- through to Sunday. And I’ll be following the models closely as we draw further in on the above . Enjoy your day .

Classic Situ developing via gfs 6z cold entrenchment, hold steadfast . Aided via stubborn blocking!… A big extension of cold- and sometimes a hint of colder infer to come- develop!..

Wow where’s we going here 3 way blocking sync!!!!

Interesting developments at the pole!.. the waa sitting at northeast Greenland are wanting of hand shaking and perhaps establishing a true pole high- and given that mother chunk of arctic pv aiding Scandinavian cold flow- it’s certainly 1 to watch as creation of dropping into scandi block formation- that all in turn open a very different door to uk cold/ deep cold access going forward!- and the Russian peninsula large pound high also needs eyes from lobe snipping and create of heights at craved locale!

The cold spell quickly turning into a “ cold snap” this morning!…

Small crumbs atm. Although the signal is still there.

As decent and factual post-@day 8/10 origin unknown..

There’s an awful lot of scatter there highlighting the doubt.

Morning- taking two of the mains raws/gfs/ecmwf. And noting there ens, you can see that after the initial cold that is more or less nailed out to 4/5 December that the gfs could well be being far to progressive in wanting of default mode ie- a more mobile pattern.however scrolling through the gefs 500 geo pots- even that looks a short lived transition- b4 rotating bk to a more blocked pattern soon thereafter… And that’s even if “ as said” that sync gets there in the 1st offing?!..@milder incursion. So all in all things looking fairly decent. And lots to be unraveled b4 then going forward… Anyway as per it’s over to the nxt suites for evolution/ development.

Beast incoming via ec 12z— another frame and the wrap of heights would note a full on easterly. Good ecm this evening, and the ens will be telling on those latter frames.. keep watching

Ecm120 hrs it’s txt book stuff snow is on the memo in swathes- and sub zero nighttime temperatures.. and frigid daylight temperatures to boot!!

The precipitation charts coming out thick n fast- nice to look at but will 99:9% unworthy at this juncture. 24/36 hrs out- then get ya heads up. Anyway the ec12z trickles soon and will likely shed a little more light mid-.. and perhaps longer term. Keep watching