southbank

Ice pellets ?

Any signs anything interesting on Epsom downs : leather head way

Swizzle here in Sutton , just on the edge so not sure we can expect much until later with any streamers setting up

Morning Kasim bit of a flop all round regarding how the models initially played this out , seems the colder air was delayed longer than any model forecast . Mind you last 72 hours they have dialled back on expectations hope all good in your neck of woods good to see other regions pop in and say hello

Well in my nearly 20 years on this forum I can honestly say I have no idea what to expect this part of london over the next few days - seen to many busts over the years to know not to go into ramp or tell the kids yet fingers crossed we all get something over the next few days

@kold weather that fax if I reading it right might renew your faith ? That’s pushing the front further west than the HiRes models ?

Are you yarmkin in disguise , are you Yarmkin in disguise ...... just pre snow banter laafs

Now that would be breaking news and worthy of a tweet

That can’t be the big news pending surely from Marco tweet

Thanks Pail for sharing these , totally appreciate you don’t have too but as the excitement builds it’s very very generous of you to do so - so thank you ????

so 4 models ICON / GFS/UKV and APERGE not one , not one showing the same thing from an event that starts in 48 hours Shows you that once the broad picture is agreed it really is a radar watch otherwise you go mental with all these up and downs

thats is freaky !! yes i was at Goodmans Field early part of 90 - great place to work such a laugh great people

yep some of us at Natwest that travelled by trains were sent home as we were based in aldgate east - leaving us that lived in inner london to work the shift out . Never forget the work home not seeing so much snow since Jan 87 and the biting winds

People shouldn’t get hooked up with the placement of potential snow how ever hard that may be as we really are talking about 50 miles here and there which is nothing in the grand scheme of things . unfortunately how much we want certainty from the NWP it’s really is a now cast situation and radar on the day .

hoping we get lucky across the whole region so all members in here get to enjoy - still holding my excitement re snowfall potential sunday until we see hi res but the meto seem bullish so fingers crossed no last minute spanners

agreed prob holding back on an amber until Hi Res really come into focus as we have know Global models to be wrong 48 hours away !!! this is firming up to be a really exciting times for us in SE - if it develops into a memorable spell i justy love the buzz in here as its great - specially those who put in all nighters ala Feb 09 and Dec 2010 !!!

morning folks - can anyone remember the last time we had a proper channel low that gave a decent covering here in SE ? 2018/1991/2009 where easterlies / thames streamers was dec 1st 2010 a channel low?

Tonight’s 12z UKMO and ECM are showing for northern half tonight what they showed yesterday for the SE & EA re snow fest the exact positioning won’t be known until Thursday I say honestly in nearly 20 years one thing I can honestly say NWP models are not worth looking past hrs outside general patterns , really waste of time . The one thing tonight charts fit in more what the Meto been saying .

great regional photos there - some cracking christmas cards scenes

Ended 3-3 let’s hope today’s 12z runs don’t do a spursey and snatch defeat from jaws of victory

The 12z runs were at the very top end of absolute optimal development we would want to see to get a snowy ( very snowy) outcome for us in SE. Sadly as desperate I am fit those charts to verify I feel from experience that today viewing was the pinnacle and slowly over the next few runs will start to downgrade . Like Kold weather I have a real fear of secondary lows forming which models won’t be picking up just yet. We are right on the edge so any change that are minor in the grand scheme of weather could shut the cold out for us . It’s certainly a high risk high reward situation - Im hoping those charts are still there come Thursday 12z but nearly 20 years on here told me to be cautious

7th 8th February 1991 I’m sure , the Thursday /Friday had the heaviest fall in london since 87 then Saturday had scattered showers

Prob another 48 hours before we can break out the “ it’s a dry easterly “

yes i doubt the GFS 12Z for our corner could get any better , sadly its 144 hrs and ive seen easterly at 72hr downgraded to non events here at SE corner. Its all about the track of the low and we already had one warning shot from the GFS 6z early so expect more rollacaster ride , but if the 12z landed then my god that would prob beat 2010/2009 in this location and you prob have to go back 30 years to 1991 although 850 are no where as cold this time

was thinking as the low sinks with much colder air north of it and warmer air to the south- would the temp gradient between the two cause this low to develop more ?