southbank

Yep subtle downgrade on wording

Hoping some sort of trend that had appeared on the NWP continues - maybe. Just maybe something of interest around 7th feb onwards ( but I’ve seen potential easterly implode within 72 hours) but if we do get an opportunity of -16 /20 over the warm sea ———-

would NINA have effect - colder water dome how snuffs out the wave ? im sure we had this a few years back promising signal that came to an abrupt end in the pacific basin?

I couldn’t see locations on iPhone but switch to chrome / landscape and it works maybe clutching straws but the band is still reasonable as it started its journey south although this can quickly decay

Epsom downs 10 min drive much better up there than Sutton mostly melting as it’s raining on off at least we had a few cm this year first since March 2018

Anyone know if box hill is open ? Or in lock down if it’s shut Epsom downs ? Any reports from there ?

First snow flakes since 2018 here in Sutton london

Certainly looks further north then on the models - be interesting do we see any adjustments shortly on the 18z it’s now cast and tbh I only believe I’m getting snow when I actually see it fall so many non events

Hmm sleet symbol for me

After dec 10 event my next snow was 13 then 18 , hence I enjoy every single one

Great photos looked like you managed to sneak a few more inches in dec 10 thats what I miss about a proper snow event not what’s currently on offer . Really enjoy the buzz in here , reports and some of us putting in all nighters or at least to silly o’clock . I still remember the first reports of 09 coming in from you and southender talking about tiny polythene type ball snow and thinking here we go again / thankfully a unique weather occurrence which was expertly explained by you to why we had such variation in that Thames streamer

Now that was the Daddy of all thaa as mes streamers

@Paul Sherman nearly 12 years to the day you probably want to look away at these photos ??

Atmosferric & stratosferric maybe one and same person moved from snow watch to here.

certainly in FI we seen a few hints of 'he who shall not be named on this forum' sausage type flow - GFSp had it before dropping it be interesting to see over next few days how signal develops

we know that if this was rain the precipitation would get worst and heavier as we got closer to the event --------- but as it snow

That’s it - this is me for winter 2020-2021 for 2021-2022

Makes you wonder if the whole point of NWP models are worth the investment and money - the fact that we are only 4 days away a mere 96 hours yet none of the models have an handle on this in my opinion ridiculous

To he honest these are the only charts I get excited about here in SE . Below is purely for fun as it popped up on GFSP tonight run I really don’t expect to see it on the 0z run but it’s the kind of Synoptics im holding out for that may pop up have ever unlikely

although the METO long range forecast could be written better its the general trend and ethos i look for . It did get the potential for winter weather in the south wrong in the 2018/2019 SSW event over new year that time but overall it does get the general trends nailed on . Its still flagging low confidence but general feeling Feb will be a rinse and repeat of Jan with the south on the wrong side of the jet with regards to weather front with those further north doing better. Another sobering winter chase - would of been much needed break for decent snow here in SE during lock down - its been a fascinating chase down from likes of Chino and Catacol on initial SSW if the final result didnt produce a more snowy outlook I always remember being in London; going from 1991 Feb to January 2003 without what i would call a decent snow event ie settling snow in central london and sticking around of decent depths might be another long wait

they have seen more snow then I have in Sutton

Some nice photos - really was a transient event nothing more - to get a decent event in SE we just need different Synoptics - channel lows are just too rare so Thames / Kent streamers are the only Synoptics I get interested in there’s some great photos in the Yorkshire thread - they certainly had a decent event I just find the snidey SE remarks boring

With these situations always revert to here and now radar watch - the met will do it’s professional best using the models at hand but it’s now real world situation - fwiw seems the front is at the moment moving through quicker than modelled ?

Its only a yellow due to potential impact rather than potential likelyhood - defo a wait and see but i have a feeling again we be on wrong side of marginal and more likely this be downgraded as we get closer to the event or the area effected gets shrank

some great photos there from around the region - down here was just yuk - but glad others had a very decent snowfall and hopefully more to come !! keep the pictures coming