Wrong - once the ground temp hits zero, snow will start to settle readily, especially with any intensity.
It’s one of the most common misconceptions when people say “the ground is too wet for snow to settle.”
With those very low dew points modelled for next weekend and a brisk SE wind, that will feel absolutely perishing.
It’s funny salivating over charts a week away when we also have this week to experience.
Possibly the best model viewing period ever! Hopefully we will be chasing record temps in the summer too!
This is a first for me in 18 years of model watching: a cold spell starting as we speak, and we’re looking in the models for an even more severe one!
Something seems to be afoot here - ECM and GEM seem to be shutting the door to a breakdown step by step.
You should get a job on British Rail!
Speaking of delays, it will be interesting to see whether the ECM 0z run continues the trend to extend the cold spell. Slightly stronger heights coupled with a shallower low could make a big difference.
Don't troughs tend to crop up at short notice though, and aren't usually well modelled?
I really think that many more people will get the snow that what the models are currently showing.