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Djdazzle

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Everything posted by Djdazzle

  1. Djdazzle
    The continent is covered in snow - and many places have a more southerly latitude. More to do with the lack of anything heavy.
  2. Djdazzle
    OK - it'll be dry then! They haven't been great recently.
  3. Djdazzle
    Paul, what do you think prevented this easterly from bring a classic? Did the remnants of the LP (Darcy) scupper deep convection?
  4. Djdazzle
    Yes, I recall seeing blue sky then some towering cumulus in the distance, with the horizon blotted out as the snow moved in. Don't think we will see the like of it again I'm afraid.
  5. Djdazzle
    I think it's a bit of a lesson in meteorology for some folk on here. There is a lot more to it than sub "-10 uppers over a warm sea will see copious amounts of snow." That theory has been blown out of the water, but I hope that people remember it next time we get a potential easterly (they won't though). Models seemed to have dropped the Scandi high now, and we have to rely on other things now. 20 days to get something decent before Spring!
  6. Djdazzle
    I agree with some of this. However, it is perfectly possible to get heavy, settling snow in February. The problem this time is that for the most part, the snow has not been heavy or continuous enough. I also think that the wind isn't really strong enough to mix up the lower levels to prevent heating. But yes, more things have to go right in February to the conditions just right.
  7. Djdazzle
    And that's been my point - it's been very limp down here. To be fair, this easterly didn't look like having the low thicknesses of the classic ones of the past. But I would have expected far better than what it's actually delivered down here. A nice cold spell, but 2/10 compared to what could have been.
  8. Djdazzle
    Well, overall this easterly spell is underwhelming except for a select few. Been under cold uppers all day and had about 15 minutes of light snow. Even the showers to the south of Essex are nothing like those further north in the country. The south east used to get buried with these easterlies.
  9. Djdazzle
    I expect it’s also to do with the flow strength. i read a post last night saying that the parameters are almost identical to the Feb 09 event, yet the outcome is nothing like that. Just trying to increase my understanding, because on paper this should have been so much better.
  10. Djdazzle
    But the sea track is even shorter for S Essex, yet there is more shower activity there than over Suffolk. Must be something else inhibiting the convection.
  11. Djdazzle
    Remember that this is the 0z suite - notoriously progressive. Wait for the 12z before calling anything.
  12. Djdazzle
    Another bust of a forecast! How can sub -10 uppers over a relatively warm North Sea generate so little convection?
  13. Djdazzle
    The convection in the North Sea off the coast of Essex and Suffolk is quite meagre.
  14. Djdazzle
    Especially in the former Essex republic of Havering!
  15. Djdazzle
    Wherever that might be.
  16. Djdazzle
    So is the precipitation over Essex more down to that warm front than convection?
  17. Djdazzle
    In the mod thread, the ECM is prolonging the cold!
  18. Djdazzle
    I thought the wind was meant to change to more ENE?
  19. Djdazzle
    Hope this peps up later! Light to moderate snow for a while, but this ought to be so much better!
  20. Djdazzle
    Can't see any reason why that would happen - I see what you mean though.
  21. Djdazzle
    It would really help if you put your location into your profile.
  22. Djdazzle
    Some precipitation heading across Suffolk into Essex now.
  23. Djdazzle
    To be fair, it's not just the GFS though!
  24. Djdazzle
    Not seeing that in the charts for the weekend. Still looks very cold. Maybe the easterly chances have diminished, but then why get up your hopes on FI charts in the first place? The type of easterly being modelled was a serious long shot at that range. But it may come back - after all, this current spell was meant to be over by Wednesday night if you'd believed the models a few days ago!
  25. Djdazzle
    Things starting to stir in the North Sea now. Bodes well for later in terms of getting some more intense showers.
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