Johnp
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bank! Seriously, please let that happen. Unfortunately anything is likely to be a downgrade compared to that. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Corrected for you. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I guess you’re a glass half empty kind of guy! -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think other parts of the country will be cold for just as long too. The coldest air on your example there is towards the south east. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I hope you’re right. I’m underwhelmed by tonight’s runs. Maybe I’ve been burned too many times with these chases! -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In a bad way presumably? Looks like the pv wants to regroup. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking relatively toasty in Ukraine which I would think is good news. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Same old mistake being made each year of people saying the models look dry. This always happens and features *always* pop up. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Interesting- I always assumed they were the same model but with different ‘tweaks’ of the data going in to it. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And makes more sense synoptically too. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At least the low is now starting to be modelled with a negative tilt. Progress at last. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I have a feeling we might see @Catacol’s scandi high on this run after day 10. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hmm ‘the’ low now really getting its act together at 162. Seems it was just a late developer on this run! -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The tropical feature is less organised and 15mb shallower on this run. Nice! Also - condolences Sheikhy. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What does that even mean? -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A second tropical type storm then appears at 252hrs! -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The winter hurricane is back again. Think we have to assume this is going to happen now - just what happens to it is the question. I would expect it to shear with energy splitting north westwards and south eastwards. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Johnp replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I just don’t understand why the trough doesn’t get pushed southwards by the HP to the north? -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Johnp replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That post you just replied to is a week old. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Johnp replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We do seem cursed don’t we? Wait twelve years for a setup like this to come along and then we’re scuppered by a December tropical storm. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Johnp replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ludicrous charts again tonight that I’m certain won’t verify. Never seen a set up like that.