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Everything posted by Purga
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
GFS 06z still carrying the Xmas baton There'll be more of these scenarios to follow with a NH profile like this on offer -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looks like Somerset last winter when the beast arrived! Made us in the SE green... -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
GLOSEA showing the blocking signal again for later in the month / early New Year, still uncertain of course but it's not diminshing for sure! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
GEM gives most of us a nice snow event on Sunday Courtesy of a cold undercut. Some settling snow for a while in Central / Western areas Just sayin' -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Atlantic gets in by Saturday but it keeps delaying on each run. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
UKMO 96h ECM 96H Getting interesting... -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Block holding right the way through this run from UKMO P Vortex shifted nicely to the Siberian side as well All good building blocks. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
LOL - do you accept died-in-the-wool, incorrigible coldies into this rarefied and exclusive club perchance? PS: I'm not quite knocking on 70 but not far off! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
METO are still very much hedging their bets, so despite the encouraging signs, we have been here before a year or two ago when a potential SSW was being flagged. It came to nothing, so whereas I & most of us would dearly love it to come off, there's a lot of water (literally!) to flow under the bridge yet! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ECM is finely balanced at 240hrs At this range, just small differences in orientation and position can make all the difference to the weather on the ground. It's 'high risk' high reward potential for some but fascinating to pour over. The upper air temps are not that cold so it's unlikelyto be a nationwide snowfest IMHO. Altitude, as ever, will help, -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Quite right Ed ! Veery well spotted.... -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
A good flip to cold by the ENS withe Op + Control ad idem, which is a positive sign Will ECM be the 'eye in the flointment' though? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion