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Purga

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Everything posted by Purga

  1. Purga
    Blimey I wish I was your bookie - I'd make a fortune!
  2. Purga
    It isn't Eddie
  3. Purga
    Well P12 would cheer up the troops! There are some cold run clustering in the ENS even if not quite so sexy as the above.
  4. Purga
    Increasing signs for a cyclonic / milder start to next month as we now see in the NWP and then a colder blocked scenario with rising heights towards Greenland as December progresses. And ECM 240hrs
  5. Purga
    Not for this thread I know, but worth mentioning that Exeter / MOGREPS are sticking to their guns re: a temporary mobile milder spell up to about mid December. Cold settled (i.e. blocked) conditions resuming thereafter. The ENS still show the uncertainty. Even at the end of the GFS 06z run the NH profile shows a disorganised vortex profile which is far away from the standard 'zonal'.
  6. Purga
    Uncertainty rules is my feeling, despite some rather downbeat Op runs this morning. Precipitation levels do look to be on the increase for sure.
  7. Purga
    What better potential, as shown, could one wish for at the start of the meteorological winter?
  8. Purga
    In the meantime - A bit of snow for the SE tomorrow?
  9. Purga
    Yes please Matron! Seriously though, there are a good few cold options to play for - as well as mild of course. An interesting evolution to say the least and a welcome change from the usual zonal grundge.
  10. Purga
    A picture paints a thousand words
  11. Purga
    The 06z GFS Op run was the coldest of the bunch towards the end compared to 00z where it was a warm outlier! Subtle shifts in the blocking High can make all the difference to us on the ground in our tiny Island Anyway, the general theme of a move to cold blocked is there and great fun to watch at this early stage of the season. Let's hope this 'pre-disposition' of the atmosphere around our shores continues to develop.
  12. Purga
    Improving ENS this morning
  13. Purga
    Retrogression anyone? Pub run =
  14. Purga
    Nice split Vortex showing there on the NH view D10 ECM
  15. Purga
    GLOSEA seasonal update now favouring a cold 850 anomaly (south) and N blocking.
  16. Purga
    Right on Knocker as shown by the GEFS spreads
  17. Purga
    "There are some signs that high pressure may develop across the north and east towards mid November" "Temperatures generally below normal, with a greater likelihood of frost as well as some snow" Important bits cherry picked,,,,
  18. Purga
    You off to the Balkans then SS? Looks chilly over here
  19. Purga
    Wintry showers over the North York Moors anyone?
  20. Purga
    "ANY MILDER INTERLUDES ARE LIKELY TO BE SHORT LIVED."
  21. Purga
    isn't that just reflective of the current very warm spell? A couple of frosts and cold days would soon cool the ground temps down.
  22. Purga
    Well time to come out of summer hibernation maybe? Whatever happens in FI it's looking cool / cold for the foreseeable.
  23. Purga
    And pack them away shortly thereafter... Oh the grand old duke of York.......
  24. Purga
    Very cool for Sun / Mon with huge precipitation potl rain / sleet /snow & the GFS Op run not well supported for any warm up. Decidedly chilly outlook for Blighty here Could we squeeze one more snow event in the south?
  25. Purga
    Enough to make you weep into your Tetley's cask ale John
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