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Posts posted by Paul
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As last night, posts moaning about location bias (or imbyism as some have coined it) aren't going to last in here, as clearly they're not model discussion..
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I think that's highly unlikely, unless the wba team have maybe applied to be mascots for the day?
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sorry this has already been picked up in the appropriate strat thread. Mods please delete.
Just for your and anyone elses info - you do have the option to hide your own posts, with a link to do so just at the bottom of the post.
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Latest from Jo on the incoming storms:
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=6389;sess=
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Did the wrong thread get locked? Was only started approx. 20 mins ago?
No, we're keeping this one running and have renamed it so it's specifically covering the coming few days.
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Just wanting to steer this back to the models if we can please - understand the warnings etc are interlinked to a point but probably best we keep that discussion more separate, especially as we have a dedicated thread for the upcoming stormy period here:
https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82152-severe-atlantic-storms-8-10th-january/page-15#entry3108413
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Just moved a whole bunch of posts into the model banter thread as arguing over the merits of imby type posts is not model discussion:
https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/81281-model-banter-moans-and-ramps-autumnwinter-201415/
For what it's worth - no-one ought to expect total neutrality from everyone using this thread when it comes to either weather preferences, location bias or whatever - this is an open discussion forum. I'm sure most people understand that too, so aren't going to be unduly confused if for instance someone from Scotland is rather more focused on the upcoming stormy winds and potential snow than someone from Jersey may be.
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Those are really good WH, do you record them every day?
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The jet stream is fired up and the UK is in line for some very mobile, sometimes mild, sometimes colder and sometimes stormy weather in the short to medium term with just some possible hints of a change later in the month. So plenty to be following on the models!
As ever, please do try to keep this thread friendly, and based around discussion of the models. If you're wanting to moan/ramp or banter about the models there's a separate thread here:
https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/81281-model-banter-moans-and-ramps-autumnwinter-2014/
For those who maybe don't know where to find the various model outputs, many of them are available right here on Netweather:
Recently added - NetWx high resolution models (free and extra versions available on the links below).
NetWx-SR
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=netwx-sr;sess=
NetWx-MR
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=netwx-mr;sess=
GFS
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=
GFS-P
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=gfs-update-2014;sess=
Ensembles
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=ensviewer;sess=
ECMWF
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=ecm;sess=
ECMWF EPS
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=ecmens;sess=
Met Office Global
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=meto;sess=
Met Office Fax
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=charts;type=fax;sess=
GEM
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=gem;sess=
Model Comparison
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=modelcomp;sess=
GFS vs GFS-P Comparison
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=gfscomp;sess=- 12
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12z's just rolling out now, going to lock this and open a fresh thread in 2 mins..
Here's the new one
https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82208-model-output-discussion-stormy-period-inbound/
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People are entitled to be interested in whatever they want you know Knocker! Did you perhaps get out of bed the wrong side this morning?
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It was working fine yesterday pm, will get Karl to check it over again when he gets in this morning.
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Very uncertain at the moment Amanda - but we'll probably still be in a pretty mixed and often unsettled spell of weather. You can keep an eye on the forecast here, but bear in mind it's likely to jump around a bit until it's a bit closer.
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This is fixed now, sods law that things like this break when everyone is on holiday! Apologies for the delay in fixing.
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This being the model banter/ramps/moans thread I think we need to steer back to that rather than sniping at other members.
For what it's worth, from what I see 99% of those using the model thread don't cause issues and certainly aren't 'whackos', the vast majority of posts are ok and when they're not we try to deal with them. We can deal with them much more quickly when people report them and don't respond to them too - a dodgy post reported straight away is much easier to sort then a dodgy post with 20 responses.
The team aren't blind of course, with people obviously investing some (a lot in some cases?) emotional energy into the desire for cold weather in winter the thread can have it's moments, and it clearly has a strong slant towards the hunt for cold, and people do enjoy the ride at this time of year, but so long as people don't go ott, or deliberately wind others up, and use this thread for some of the ramps and moans etc it all generally hangs together pretty well. I think sometimes people tend to get hung up on the odd problem which obviously tends to stand out more than the multitude of perfectly decent posts and then judge the whole thing based on that.
Of course it's never going to be everyone's cup of tea (you can't please everyone no matter how hard you try!), but fortunately there are many other threads on here for alternate discussions.
The irony is, the only people sniping and name calling today for instance are a couple of those in this thread, as there's none in the model thread at all - it's just good natured, interesting discussion. So perhaps it's time to move on - if anyone wants to discuss the ins and outs though, or has any ideas/feedback in terms of improvements they'd like to see in the thread or the forum overall please feel free to pm me or any of the other team members.
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This'll be fixed tomorrow
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Just so everyone is on the same page - posts in here containing any sort of 'winters over' type comment will be deleted as clearly they cannot be model related since we've not even made it to the end of December yet...
And for people wanting to moan about the current output etc, we have a specific thread for that too...
https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/81281-model-banter-moans-and-ramps-autumnwinter-2014/
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Hi James, it's best to contact us through the site for this with your netweather extra username so we can help you direct.
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Just wanted to wish everyone a very merry Christmas, yes it's not going to be a white one for most of us but regardless I hope everyone has a fantastic time :smiliz19:
Paul
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I have been unable to see any of the runs in full since Saturday's 18z: http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=gfs-update-2014;sess=7bc3d6eaac28dcf2b4ea715771f2e707
There's a disk problem on the server running these currently - will be back and updating properly shortly.
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As a change of pace, and for a bit of fun - have a crack at the white christmas forecasting competition here:
https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82082-can-you-forecast-ukeire-white-christmas/
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Erm, as goes model discussion, most of the recent posts are about as far removed it as you can get, so can we try to steer things back on topic now please.
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Can we keep this vaguely about the models please - picking out a 140 word un-model related tweet from someone and trying to analyse the ins and outs of it to the extent you're trying to read wasn't isn't actually there and in some cases trying to put your own words in someone elses mouth, is never going to work.
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Severe Atlantic storms 8-10th January
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Belmullet up to 70mph gusts - live top 10 (30 minute updates):
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=current;type=maxg;sess=