andy989

This would usually be an amber warning and school closures poor show forecasting wise but a nice surprise This would usually be an amber warning and school closures poor show forecasting wise but a nice surprise

Well i wasn’t expecting that

Snowing in Devon apparently, can anyone confirm? Was this modelled?

2018 was an amazing summer. It lasted so long and was so dry. My ideal fantasy heat wave (summer) scenario would be as follows. Coming off the back of a wet winter so the water table is high and reservoirs are full. A spring like 2020. That was the best spring I’ve had (ignoring covid). Every day for what seemed like 2 months was wall to wall blue through April and may. It was like being abroad where you didn’t have to read the forecast, you could just go to bed knowing it was going to be another sunny day. Days spent in the garden with an evening bonfire looking at the stars. (Again ignoring covid, just speaking in weather terms) This sunny weather but not too hot extends into the first week of June. After that we get our first heatwave of high 20’s low 30’s that lasts 2 weeks. This 2 week heat wave ends with 2 days of intense wide spread thunderstorms and a front, bringing a humid end. For a few days after there is crud cloud for the end of June. This rain does little to help the increasingly browning grass and cracking dirt. Starting July, the high takes hold again and we return to blue skies. Temps of around 25-27 for the first week. During this time the net weather forum sniffs out an intense heatwave. Rumblings of “really hot weather on the way” spread through friends and family. Shops are selling bbq’s and ice faster than they can stock them. It arrives and we have 3 weeks of fluctuating between 30 to extremes of 38 (not 38 everyday for 3 weeks) August starts with a hose pipe ban and temps still around 28-30 for the first week but much more humid now. Storms build almost every day for the first week. We have one final less severe plume mid august before a stormy breakdown to end august. (Pure fantasy, ignoring the impact on flora and fauna)

KTtom Yeah, I’m looking at Snowdon now and it’s only the top third that has a covering. I personally don’t remember a forecast being this wrong for my area

ANYWEATHER I agree but it’s the way society has been shaped, rather than society doing it to themselves. The Small local schools of the past have all but closed and merged into larger schools that serve a much bigger area. So People live further away from said schools now and rely on either public transport or their own vehicles, and we all know how inept the general public are when it comes to driving in snow, so it becomes dangerous in that sense. So when a society is shaped in such ways, it relies on information from the government regarding what to do, so when an amber warning amounts to nothing, is it society’s fault for reacting or the government’s fault both being wrong and shaping said society. Wrong forum for such topics perhaps

mountain shadow yes shockingly bad forecast. Schools here closed yesterday due to the amber warning of snow and we’ve not even had sleet. Rain all day. Snow line on the mountains is some 2500ft now. Some mountains have no snow at all. Mild air pushed much further North. Bare in mind this was one of the places touted for 20-25cm

Must have been a much bigger push north of the milder air, for even the mountains to be struggling.

Extremely marginal even for high ground, the low cloud has cleared enough for me to see up to the summit behind my house, no white on mountain I live on (Elidir fawr) not even on the summit of 3031ft. However the mountain next door and Snowdon has snow down to fairly low level, all are within a mile from me. Seems I’m just on the edge. No precipitation falling atm.

Snowyowl9 so far it’s been rain, not even sleet and now there’s nothing falling from the sky. Usually do very well on account of my location and height

What a fail, despite my height and mountains it’s wind and rain. Looks like rain even higher up than me

Not sure what to think about tomorrows chances IMBY. I’m in the amber area, I live in the mountains and I’m 1002ft. Everything is on my side by weather forecasts say rain. I think going but expirience tells me I’ll do fine as the area I live has a microclimate due to the mountains. Fingers crossed

Spah1 I find that really strange, how can they be so sure of that little indent of yellow into the amber, especially seeing as that a mountainous region with the the highest mountains outside of Scotland

Marcus_surfer enjoy, where abouts are you going there? I’ve been going there every year since 2009, got married there last year under the aurora.

Regarding Thursdays Snow, for those who are in with a shot. It will very much be now casting. I’m inside the warning zone and at an altitude of 1002ft but the metoffice has me as rain.

damianslaw This. I’m sure pub run will be different again

And there goes the mod thread once again.

Mcconnor8 Sorry I meant if it goes too far south and I miss the moisture completely (past experience) But yes you’re correct with regards to northerly corrections too. But as @Jackski4states above there’s enough room for another 100 miles or so south. Again, IMBY

IMBY hoping for no further corrections south for Thursday as I’m now under 20cm yellow warning from the met office. They must be pretty confident to issue a snow warning this far out

WYorksWeather Best post I’ve read on here in a long time. Very clear and easy to follow.

It’s definitely harder to follow conversations now. But I appreciate the effort to de-clutter and agree some posts are far too long and quoting them just makes things worse. But I’m finding it impossible to follow conversations

You weren’t there, how are you still doubling down and trying to explain a death in an attempt to prove your point? You are not the gate keeper to warnings. You specifically said in your original posts “Further north conditions just about warranted a warning”. The tree fell due to wind. If there wasn’t a storm that tree would not have fallen and that man would not have driven into said tree and die. That more than “just about warrants warning”. You would have been better off just saying “warning unwarranted in my area” (Disclaimer, everyone is entitled to opinions about warnings or whatever, but the im right your wrong attitude about places miles away from where you live is absurd)

The warnings were warranted, even if it didn’t amount to much where YOU are. More people lose their lives than you think in UK storms, often as a result of motoring/falling trees. Warnings at least give people an awareness to drive in accordance with conditions. Your comment comes across as completely ignorant.

I see some people are saying “February has always been the main period of interest”. The gaslighting is strong in the Mod thread. I for one have not forgotten the same people banging the 2010/1963 drum since November.

Rough night here even for our Mountain village that’s used to it. The wind is rushing down Llanberis pass from Capel Curig that has had a 90mph gust earlier today. In the past the power has gone off with less so I’m surprised it’s still on.