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Everything posted by andy989
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Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
andy989 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Does anyone happen to have links to model output threads of previous cold events? I’m trying to put together an overview of model behaviour in the run up to cold events. Which one tends to sniff them out first, which ones drop the idea then picks it up again, which ones tend to swing to others late and so forth. Thought I’d ask if anyone had links saved before i go on a deep dive searching for them -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
andy989 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Need multi day, multi model support. Catch you all tomorrow AM to see if we get any closer -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
andy989 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I see silly season is well and truly here. Think we’d learnt by now not to shout 2010 after one pub run eh (don’t get me wrong I wish it true) -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
andy989 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ah thanks. My brain was looking for “Stratosphere temperature watch” so I couldn’t see it -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
andy989 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is there a stratosphere watch thread like there used to be? I think Chio used to start it every year? Can’t seem to find it. Talk of an earlier Canadian warming -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
andy989 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When he sprays and prays the same ramping forecast year after year, he’s bound to be “right” once. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
andy989 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is the chase on already? Can’t believe it’s that time of year again. Genuine question, is there anything that makes this different to all the early garden paths of previous years? If that can be answered then I’ll join the chase. If there’s nothing that makes it different then I’ll wait for multi day cross model agreement at day 5 before my ears perk up, been stung too many times to start this early. -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Some small developments in the Irish Sea moving north east. Maybe a late night surprise later on? -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Beautiful sunset on the huge anvil from the Llandrindod Wells storm, 70miles from me. Now that’s darker I can see the lighting from it. I’m too far north west for it but Cheshire area might be in for it later as it travels north east -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Anyone with a couple webcam links to the Lincolnshire supercell? -
Was an abnormally windy August night here.
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Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Not thunderstorm related but the is is the most active thread right now. Looks like we have a sting jet? A well defined one too -
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
No, before I fly home, from the the states. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
The best lightning I’ve ever seen. Including the longest duration strike I’ve ever seen. One last storm before I fly home. FullSizeRender.MOV FullSizeRender.mov -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Saw this on Facebook, rain pouring through the roof a Costco in Trafford park. FullSizeRender.MOV -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Well my train has driven straight into the main NW storm, insane, so dark. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
And in typical fashion, I’ve been waiting for a storm or rain even since the start of this event on Friday. Been a bust, now that I’m not home, there’s a storm at home! Don’t feel too sad for me though, I’m on a train to Manchester airport to go to Florida so I’m sure I’ll get my storm fix there. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Development seems more wide spread today -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
andy989 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Southern edge on the west side seems to be re-intensifying as it crosses mid Wales border