andy989

Well us two snow lovers got married in the Arctic. The lights came out to play just in time. -23 and 70cm of snow. Interesting strat developments, looks like I’ll be arriving home just in time for another chance.

I go every year. I’m getting married there in January. In Levi though not Ruka. Been to Ruka many times though

Interesting strat developments worth keeping an eye on. Unexpected Christmas Eve thunderstorm here. Merry Christmas all, enjoy and see you in January for another chase?

Unexpected Christmas Eve thunderstorm here now too.

Mental!

70F in 18-24 hours. This event won’t be a 70 degree drop as there isn’t summer heat values to begin with so less room to fall compared to 1911 But I do think the rate of fall on this event is quicker. Honestly didn’t think such a rate was possible, reminds me of the film “day after tomorrow”

An important point. Too many posts on here just taking models on face value and not being analysed properly using a number of different techniques. Emotionally charged reactions from simply taking one look at the charts. It’s an art to be able to read between the lines an deduce for yourselves which way the models may go next.

IMBY I’m having a great cold spell. Hopefully we’ll get something a bit more nationwide so more can enjoy. IMG_7400.MOV

Falling as snow for me but I’m high ground, friends reporting snow showers lower down though

Another unexpected pelting just dropped about 3cm. Nothing was forecasted/ modelled for me today. The SST’s helping to create some decent showers IMG_7380.MOV

A bit of now casting for today, looking at the radar there seems to be slightly more of a NW element to the costal showers on the west side of UK today compared to yesterday. Yesterday was straight down from the north and I was watching the wasted showers over the Irish Sea never making it inland. Today with a bit more of a NW travel, some North and Western parts of Wales, maybe Liverpool area might see some showers.

More snow last night and I’ve been told it’s snowing down in Caernarfon at sea level. Patience folks, we are only 2 days into the cold spell. With regards to “breakdown”, models always show breakdowns, ALWAYS. Every cold spell I remember it’s longevity was never known before hand, breakdowns were being shown but always out in FI and pushed back. Don’t worry until those “breakdowns” gather support and tick down from day 10

Don’t worry too much about precipitation on the charts. Not much was shown for me yesterday but we had snow overnight, couple cm’s. The mountains had a lot even though not much precipitation was modelled. In this kind of setup surprises and short notice events do pop up (granted not for EVERYONE). Micro climate areas play a big part in it too. Here’s a video of Snowdon taken from air ambulance helicopter today. Snow line down to about 350m now, it will get lower and lower over the coming days. FullSizeRender.MOV

Nice seasonal dog walk this evening, puddles in the road are frozen.

Seems to be an inversion going on. I live 1000ft asl and it doesn’t feel as cold up here as it did down in the village (around 400ft). Clear skies too. I suspect it will get colder at my height as the days go on and any milder air is mixed out as the cold spell goes on. Mountains have a nice covering of snow from about 1400ft upwards.

BBC has issued an article, met office says it will be cold enough for snow anywhere in the country with “severe cold weather”. I don’t usually post media headlines but these are words from the Met Office So don’t get downbeat if a particular run doesn’t show the 850’s you’d like to see in your area. Or if it looks too dry for any snow. Things will crop up, change, adjust. I know it’s an age old saying on here but “get the cold in first” and the magic will follow really true with this set up. UK weather: Met Office warns of below freezing temperatures WWW.BBC.CO.UK People are urged to look out for friends and family amid unseasonably cold temperatures this week.

Can definitely feel the chill in the air now. I’m liking the cross model agreement in the broader scale, the details of any snow/depth of cold won’t be known until the cold is here. Meanwhile is snowing heavily in the Scottish ski resorts FullSizeRender.MOV

I’ve been too busy to study the models and read the forum past few days, anyone able to help me out and say if we are any closer than day 10 to real world results? Thanks

Great ECM, but I want to see 2 things now. Cross model support and for that support to tick down from day 10

We are getting married in the arctic circle in the first week of January because we are both cold and snow lovers/snowboarders. It would be VERY typical that we get something special in the UK and I miss it or worst, unable to fly out because of it Even though I’ll be in the arctic, being a coldie there’s something about UK cold that makes you not want to miss it. I’m personally still taking a cautious approach before getting excited, but the language used by the very respected members on here has definitely made me sit up. Enjoying the chase for now, I think this is textbook “get the cold in first” scenario.

And that ladies and gentlemen is how you meltdown a forum

I remember that eruption. I remember thinking how odd it was to see no planes in the skies. Here is the ash spread from that eruption. Here’s Cumbre Vieja Last year. and here’s Tonga Tonga happened right after Cumbre Vieja, but Cumbre obviously much closer to us.

Also need to take into account lag. I’m interested in wether the huge, months long eruption of Cumbre Vieja last year will have any effect on this winter. Or did it have a hand in the record breaking heat this summer.

Is there no strat thread this year? Or is it too early

We have snow on The mountains here again today, always good to see it this early.