Timmytour

I'm not reading Steve M as setting himself up to be either right or wrong, rather just highlighting a potential evolution. It would be nice if it did come off, but I'm sure he's not actually saying it will happen, just that it could

Poppping over to Broxbourne this afternoon so hope it stays that way! :-)

Snowflakes are still to be seen but definitely more rain in the mix than before in Stevenage and the cars losing the covering they had

I've very near the station. It's died down now but that little burst was enough to cover the windscreens. But it's not staying on the ground once it eases up....just a wet dusting on the grass

And now the best bit of snow in Stevenage.....looks great and settling readily

Just started seeing a little bit of settling getiing going....unfortunately it's not so heavy now!

Blizzard-like in Stevenage right now! But no sign of anything settling

Snowing in Stevenage.....i think there's enough flakes there to justify that description although there's a mix in rreality and the rain within it is making noises against the window! EDIT more identifiable as snow the heavier it gets

Here's n Atlantic Dog called Toppler sniffing the UK in Feb 1983. We did quite well for snow around about that time as I recall though overall the month was pretty dry, although cold. Wonder if Toppler's coming for another sniff this year?

The Weather Rules are in chaos this morning!! Precipitation coming down from the north and only places SOUTH of the M4 seem to be getting the snow!!

For me nothing highlights the potential for change like markedly different fax charts within a short space of time. it really feels as if there's two or three elements of a heads or tails in the atmosphere in the moment and how the coins fall will push us one way or the other. all heads and we head for 1978-79 again, all tails and spring gets ushered in, and either side of that we veer towards either a bit below or above average. Nothing gets resolved moving forward until each toss of a coin for that particular element is decided. i'm hopeful that, based on IF comments referred to earlier which I saw quoted (but don't know where they were made) that once again he's provided an early indication of where the models we're seeing will be heading. Today's a day that i think will see more optimism that the tosses of the coin will end up being heads. But even if that's the case, at the end of the day it will still come down to chance. We either get lucky or we don't and the models are continuing to shpw both options on various runs

Stevenage has proved a good spot for snow over the last couple of days in comparison to nearby areas....but it's a wintry mix this morning in which rain is definitely a feature!

Snowing in Stevenage....will it add to the existing dusting?

Hope your predictions on football aren't as good as your predictions on the weather

I don't hold that against you

Spending too much time looking at the models and model thread. I should go out tonight to watch Spurs but I'm not feeling well. I'd usually describe it as dodgy guts. But now I can only think of it in terms of having my internal PV all over the place with mid-stomach blocking and sliders runnning south over my own personal UK containing plenty of precipitation. Tentative signs of heights heading north

I think I'll scream if JMA has it right this time. The amount of times its been alone in promises of heaven which have never materialised. Surely, surely, this can't be the one time the weather does exactly what it said on the JMA tin when it's not on any of the others?

That drives me mad to. I often feel the urge too correct them

Mid Atlantic blocking Sliding Lows This is no ordinary cold spell This is an M&S cold spell!

I doubt it....by that time attention would be more directed to the apparent breakdown seven days later

NYC reminds me a little of Feb 2009 in my area....got promised a bundle of snow from a monday 1pm onwards, but it started snowing on sunday night from a streamer and dumped 7" before 1pm arrived. bu then we didn't really end up getting anything from the main event itself!! The pictures from Plymouth are mighty impressive. I know there was some disagreements in the models about how far west the storm would push. I think, so far from the evidence on this occasion, the models reluctant to push it west have been the more accurate

interesting listening to the weather channel now as they describe the developing situation over the East Coast of the States. lots of expectation that New York is going to be hit by a further foot of snow 9it already has five inches) but the guy did say there's some divergence in what the models are showing..with some not giving them too much more! It made me think that (apart from demonstrating how even short term forecasting of snow can be fraught with difficulty) that there's a lot of butterflies flapping thier wings upstream which could impact on what the models show us in future runs, be that difference positive or negative on our chances of a long spell

Poor old mods....as if they don't have the work cut out already dealing with this place , now they're given the blame for flattening out the ridge!!

Tomorrow's Daily Express has raised the alert level on the upcoming cold spell to "Killer Freeze"

And the storm proper is still some way away! Wish I'd done a bit of planning now to find out if there was pub somewhere prepared to show the weather channel into the early hours of the morning. I'd be there!