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Everything posted by draztik
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Oh for heavens sake. Whatever way you look at it, it’s not winter. Record breaking temps or not, it’s likely to be close to 16 or 17C in favoured spots - exceptional considering we were supposed to be in an igloo had we believed the long range models.
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Winter grinds on in the U.S., whereas over in the U.K.,.....
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Realism has never been this forums friend. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
So it’s been pushed back to mid January now? Here’s a thought.. let’s just cancel winter altogether. If I have to listen to “I feel we are in for something special” or “the strat.......” one more time!! The UK is seeing nothing at all right now. And the EC mean has a positive temp anomaly throughout its run ... that’s out to second week of January. People keep coming back here expecting MAJOR changes every morning, only to be disappointed. The strat is not our saviour, let’s stop pretending it is. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Probably best not to be looking for that type of cold in the UK, tho? Well, that’s if we are being realistic? In late November we were told to expect this forum to be hyper busy into 2nd wk of December (due to possibility of severe cold)... then it was pushed back to Christmas. Now we are talking about early January & beyond .... A definite and all too familiar theme. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Have a little more faith. I hear the background signals are excellent. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
‘Background signals’... that’s become the new way of saying ‘potential’. Means very little if nothing is actually produced on the ground. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
yep - was going to ask the same thing... ecm doesnt look much better. I suspect folk are sometimes looking at different charts. -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
and the truth shall set you free.... a different forecast tomorrow will bring a new opinion. Hope you're ready for the winter season.... plenty more 'potential' and the jam is almost always tomorrow. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Genuinely the best post Ive read in here in over 5 years. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So sad what this heatwave is doing to the country. Causing misery day after day; wildfires, parched land, crops ruined and reservoirs drying up - and looking at the EPS this is set to continue and intensify as we head into August. Horrific news for those that love the British countryside when it’s at its most stunning - instead of being a wasteland on fire. A sign of things to come. Sad. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
anyone would think this was the moan thread. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lovely to note autumn fast approaching -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
beautiful. hope it sweeps in and stays put for some considerable time. we all deserve fresh weather. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’ll pass. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mad thread back to their old tricks - when a model doesn’t show you what you want, call it out/ignore it and say it’s wrong. That’ll work! -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know you want the status quo, forever. But the models are showing a deterioration. Heights being pushed to our NE; it’s all slipping away. -
Which is exactly what the eps extended is indicating.
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not really. The eps mean, in terms of mslp, has a negative anomaly over the UK for period July 19th - July 28th... cya @ Heatwave. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
as ever. but i suspect we will see a return to the so called 'british norm'... with a NW/SE split. This mornings 0Z EPS ensembles did not exactly paint a rosy picture, UK-wide, for settled weather into mid - term - doubt we'll see much better from tonights set either. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But, in all seriousness, this is long overdue. The country needs some water. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I hate to disappoint. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at tonights 12z model updates .... -
never too early to start hoping for cool/colder weather, never.
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Summer 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc
draztik replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
welcome to normal.