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Everything posted by draztik
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEM being highlighted over in the mod thread - things rly must be dire. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You just can’t please some people! The NW has seen (and is still seeing) a period of fine weather. Temps 19-25, sunny cloudless days ... at least two weeks worth! And you’re moaning about westerlies. Get a grip. -
to be fair, the writing has been on the walls for a while now. Certainly if anyone had been paying attention to the ext EPS.
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
we're here to moan; so we're going to moan. enjoy the ride -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Considering you're one of the main instigators, i'd say you quite enjoy it. Some folk just dont take delight in others misery; -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
People don’t care. If it’s not affecting them, no reason to care. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This sums it up nicely. People want what makes others miserable. They see reddish orange charts and think ‘party’. Horrible week coming up for much of England. The people of Birmingham won’t be posting in the MAD thread any time soon ... they’re too busy with real life! -
Shades of June 2012 from tonights 18z output.
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Given the 18z GFS output - that appears rather shaky, shaky.
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Thanks for making my point.
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EPS 46 dayer continues to suggest a below average/average month on the whole. Then again, it's fast becoming cannon fodder much like the CFS - so expect a heatwave.
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
lol! We are far from there, yet! Let's see how this plays out! -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ecm day 10, 12z and 0z. Lets play darts! Which one will come off, pays your money, take your choice. Ecm, king of the models. Brilliant stuff! -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This too shall pass I am still confident June will not play out like this, or July. Chin up! -
Short range model discussion - into 2018
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
a truly informative thread. thank you knocker. -
Indeed. This model truly has been utterly woeful recently! The verification stats may paint a different story, but for our parts it has just been dire.
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Spring 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc
draztik replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I've ordered you more rain. It will be arriving soon. -
Spring 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc
draztik replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Northern Blocking... oh dear. The main thread will be going into meltdown*... little talk of record breaking temps, for a while! *wont be the heat causing the melt -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
something for you Sim... the GFS 12z trend is sharply negative (may not last for long, but certainly a cooler wk post Tuesday) -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
draztik replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
and its only May... Imagine record breaking temperatures (for cold) in October.... the equivalent, so to speak. Never going to happen! So much easier to get heat into the UK than cold... then again, I hear its a warming planet -
Spring 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc
draztik replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
But its very much the exception. Fear not, the London area will be back up soon enough... -
The updated EPS 12z never show a strong +ve temp anomaly for UK throughout its run - it goes positive Friday thru Bank holiday monday, but therafter, it goes negative once more, staying that way out to day 16. This would tie in with the EPS 46 dayer... which has shown a below average May in its last series of updates. The GEFS would tend to agree, though less marked in comparison. Back to the old adage of 'more runs' etc.
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Gee I do hope so. I do so hope you actually find the time to go spend some time outdoors too. Instead of being on here so much. Vitamin D n all. ?
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The trend, yes. But the graph you post is a little misleading, as the reality on the ground is a continued below average period.