Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

KTtom

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,570

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by KTtom

  1. KTtom
    Yes, im a little bemused as to why some see uncertainty? All models now back the Met, who have talked up a return to mild, wet and windy next week for some time now. The only slight uncertainty is the exact timing..its snowi g lightly here now, forecast 7 c tomorrow with light rain, double digits by Thursday with gales.pretty much what the models are showing.
  2. KTtom
    Call me sceptical, actually best not someone else has that name, cant be doing with a law suit, but in relation to the Mets wording, arent the chances of a more prolonged cold spell always greater as we head into late December and Jan compared to early December? Bit like at the start of May saying chances of a warm settled spell increasing late in the month?
  3. KTtom
    Totally agree, embarrassing...you have 2 wars going on but the UK experiancing hard frosts has made the BBC home page for the last 3 days
  4. KTtom
    Not sure the implecations further down the line on the TPV but thats some serious WAA for western europe. Scandi countries seeing an increase in temps of 20 odd degrees in 48hrs according to ecm, which, is slightly different to last nights offering.
  5. KTtom
    00z's keeping up the trend of being party poopers, odd how this is a recurring trend. Pretty much a full house for not very mild, wet and windy spell for the following 10 days or so from Tuesday.
  6. KTtom
    True, but some are far more likely than others, and I think we do know what the outcome is next week now... ECM deports the - 5 isotherm from UK shores as early as Sunday night!
  7. KTtom
    The voice of reason! I was shocked to read some talking up chances of an easterly in the next 3 weeks on the other page ..Hard to see thats possible from the model output and I think Exeter would at least be dropping a hint if it was, so, If it does happen I'll eat my sledge!
  8. KTtom
    ECM run reminds me so much of week 2 December last year, a couple of Atlantic lows missing to the south, which if they had hit could of been interesting, then a tepid breakdown of the cold courtesy of the Azores high ridging in.
  9. KTtom
    Agreed, maybe some misinterpreting the colours of the H500 charts, synoptically great but im not seeing any blizzards. Even for Wales the met are only mentioning rain for Thursday. "Showers merging into longer spells of rain Wdnesday night into Thursday"
  10. KTtom
    Almost looks like a carbon copy of the run up to last Christmas, cold in a slack northerly flow. Last year many were celebrating the failure of any systems making inroads into the UK, we remained mostly dry before a tepid breakdown near to xmas week. Hopefully this year we will get a more interesting transition.
  11. KTtom
    Must admit even though your relitively 'young' in here I do find your posts reassuringly level headed and accurate. Im sure some can see potential snow when they look at a chart in July...keep it up
  12. KTtom
    UKMO a world away from GFS at 168. GFS winter wonderland run is based on a low tracking south under the block. A very rare occurrance these days, i think i know which will end up closer to the mark..
  13. KTtom
    Agreed, ECM also very similar to UKMO at 144....good post Met4cast above.
  14. KTtom
    Well, managed a dry day here today despite a yellow warning ...however, the weekend looking odds on to be wet and windy again..being a Cardi, its eating at me that ive paid 2 months membership for golf membership and havent played once since start of September
  15. KTtom
    Appologies in advance if there was a better place I could have put this..Im trying to find the top temperatures last Friday and Saturday in Cilgerran Pembrokeshire...we have a piece of machinery which the makers say can malfunction if the external temperature is greater than 30 c. Can someone provide this data or a detailed map showing top temps please? TIA
  16. KTtom
    Tut! You should be ashamed of yourself posting a GFS chart in the Model discussion thread... and at such timelines ... wind up merchant
  17. KTtom
    UKMO the real shock of the runs tonight, really develops the Atlantic low for late next week...thinking, I going to offer to work weekends and have mid week off instead, this cycle we seem to be going thru is so frustrating.
  18. KTtom
    Yep, fair assesment. We seem to be in an annoying rut of weekend lows! This weekend another shocker, I make that 4 in a row here. Looks like a brief return to summer conditions mid week, the west may manage a couple of days of warm sunshine, south east, maybe up to the weekend, but looking likely another Atlantic low, allbeit, not as deep as recent, moves in for the following weekend.
  19. KTtom
    It is a fairly consistant theme with the last few gfs runs post day 10. The Met, sticking there necks out saying chances of a settled hot spell in August is low. Warmer looks likely, dryer looks likely but no return to 'June' from what i can see.
  20. KTtom
    Its like chasing cold in winter...latest Met ramblings now talking up late August for something a little more settled...previously it was early, then mid August. At the time a significant warm up was supposed to be underway (week 1 August) we're due a northerly..wouldnt be surprised if some sheltered parts of the north get a frost
  21. KTtom
    Certainly a shift to a more favourable pattern emerging in terms of something more settled in the west, this gaining more traction overnight, however with a trough to the east and ridge to the west, winds are from a northerly quarter, so, IF that pattern does verify, nothing particularly warm, probably below average, especially in the east.
  22. KTtom
    Hmmm, may need a little more support before I organise a BBQ!
  23. KTtom
    For a day 10 chart, its better than the GFS that's for sure.. not sure I'm seeing a heatwave from there tho.. pretty average which is where the Met think we'll be heading mid month with an up-tick of temperatures... also noted that this has shifted out somewhat, was originally start of August.
  24. KTtom
    Nothing particularly exciting on show from 00z. Those who questioned the 'rock solid science' for a hot first week August and got shot down probably having a wry smile.
  25. KTtom
    Then if they are fixated in just using the models only, then that should tell the rest of us something, the models are the best tool. They are THE professionals in one of the hardest jobs going in relation to our location.
×
×
  • Create New...