KTtom

Depending on location obviously...the warmest week of the year by some distance on the cards for the west... 16 degrees for the west coast

Gfs seems to be on its own somewhat with pulling the high out west and a return to colder and unsettled conditions next weekend. UKMO and ECM have the core of the high staying east and warmer air (uppers) being drawn up later in the week as the easterly dies....we know which way this would go in winter..

Further south again this morning...just the far south west currently at risk of severe gales but a wash out elswhere....

Next weeks low modelled further and further south...here is ukmo 120

UKMO now picking up on the 'storm' for later next week gfs has been showing for a few days now. The track now crucial but a real threat of widespread severe gales.

Gfs also has that very deep low for the 12th...

Agree...some of the more youthful locals parade around in shorts and flip flops in January! Now that is mad!

Amazing what the sun can do this time of year, the beer garden was t-shirt weather this afternoon despite temps of only 11 degrees. Sun went behind clouds at 4 and it was deserted by 4.30...the main takes on today, a massive influx of tourists and the world grass cutting championships seem to be taaking place here!

Unfortunately its the usual case with the met warnings, dammed if you do, dammed if you dont. Some just dont get the matrix regarding to likelihood and disruption, if they see a 'yellow' then the perception is it must happen and the met are useless if it doesn't.

Less of an easterly influence on tights ecm, more of an Atlatic flow, nothing dramatic but a swing around between who gets the more sunshine between western and eastern areas with the latter fairing much better than was looking likely yesterday.

Well, gfs has high pressure taking hold from 1st April and still has it sat over us on the 14th (last chart), so who knows....it does seem increasingly difficult to shift an area of high pressure when it gets hold of NW Europe

One thing im noticing this last 12 months or so, is that when we get into a pattern it sticks for weeks on end, whether its unsettled and wet or dry and settled, with the latter looking odds on to establish itself in the run up to Easter, i do wonder how long itll be before were moaning about a lack of rain again...obviously there is a caveat to this, very cold spells still last 48 hours!

4 gfs runs in a row now have high pressure in charge for Easter Weekend..one to keep an eye on.

Looks like those who like colder and sunny as opposed to milder and wet will be happy next week

There is a northerly forecast for later this weekend, but this time of year, even that will struggle to lower temperatures to single digits in the south. Its a bit of a trade off this time of year, south westerlies and its damp and cloudy, northerly and its cool but with plenty of sunshine.

Alot of people repeating themselves today! Also seen a fluffy bumble bee playing golf yesterday

This should help the areas in the south west still in drought...mild southwesterlies to dominate, at least through next week. As Tidal Wave mentions above, not what we were led to believe was going to be the likely outcome post SSW.

Looking through the models this morning, plenty of wet weather into next week which will benefit some, especially the south west which, according to an article on the News last night is still officially in drought. The other noticeable feature as we head into the second half if the dominance of south westerlies, no sign of a return to anything cold. I guess its very much where you live as to how favourable the SSW was to you, but for most, a few frosty days and some wet snow would sum it up, not quite what most were forecasting / hoping for.

Maybe not, but my enthusiasm for 12 c compared to 8 c is the seismic difference it makes to the feel inside of my house no matter what its doing outside.

Whether its wet or dry, its certainly looking mild for the majority for the rest of the month, mean is well above average from tomorrow with no signs of a Very Cold month that was being predicted.

It has to be said it has gone down hill a little, still we're tough here, 30 mph gusts off the sea, heavy showers 11 c almost feel like august

Currently looking good for Friday, Thursday, however is something else! Anyway, we need the rain so I keep getting told.

Very happy with the model output this morning. The threat of a cold March is quickly receeding, after todays nucence cold, my location is back to double figures, even 15 c possible by the end of the week..1st beers of the year in the beer garden after work friday

Well ECM does try ...

I agree, there was a perfect storm for central / northern areas, IF that low had tracked further north or not existed at all it would have been pretty bog standard, even then places in the sweet spot failed to see laying snow.