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KTtom

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Everything posted by KTtom

  1. I dont, just like those who said this spell would be 'epic' didnt...the chances of a more severe cold spell later in March are slim for the obvious reasons.
  2. unfortunately this week looks to be as good as it gets for snow enthusiasts, and going by the Mets app my location isnt worth a sleet symbol before we hit double figures next weekend.
  3. Must admit it feels like ive been reading about this 'historic' cold spell for 6 weeks now! As usual, as soon as we got within the 168hr mark the cracks started to show. Feels like 6 weeks of my life ill never get back reading all the ramps for what now appears to be a bulk standard northern snow event, not exactly exceptional March weather.
  4. Yea, looking lively for a change next weekend, even a spell of wind and rain will be a change...the much preclaimed cold spell looks increasingly like snow will be restricted to areas north Wales north from what I can see.
  5. Not a great memory of 2018 apart from the obvious. Apart from the washout 3 weeks post Xmas, its been a very benign winter...one thing the models to suggest is a more mobile pattern, so, a nice mixture of rain and clearer sunnier conditions between systems.
  6. Totally agree, March Spring for me is just getting the daylight extended, even cold days dont feel bad when its light. However, give some sun, even when its cold and it can feel very pleasant...plus you get the vegetation comming to life. Nothing worse going to work in the dark and travelling home in the dark.
  7. Yep, for my location, Wednesday looking brutal for those choosing to sit in their garden naked..otherwise, spring is on the way!
  8. Hard to believe, after what seems like weeks on end of being promised a 5 star banquet, we are back to the inevitable squabbling over scraps dropped on the floor.
  9. West Wales is up to 9c by Thursday! Not sure which model they use or whether its a blend. This could be the mildest cold spell in history!
  10. Preparation for the Olympic Straw Grabbing event have started in earnest!
  11. Status Quo from ECM...Milder push by Thursday from the Atlantic...ukmo comes up with a low, which had GFS shown it would be laughed at...and gfs op continues its lone furrow inretaining cold until 14th....clear as mud ! Overall, if you take a mean from that lot, I would be happy living central/northern England, North east Wales.
  12. To be fair, given the scatter for later next week in the Ens, it was only a matter of time until one of the ops went the much milder route... Have to wait until tomorrow to see if its a trend or just a 1 off.
  13. Could be some date temperature records on Thursday
  14. Well surely not! ECM, heavily backed yesterday has us in south westerlies by Thursday! If the Met app is correct and the ECM , I get a 24 hour cold spell on Wednesday
  15. Ive now got 8c on Tuesday, the warmest day for a week !
  16. Not a wonderful Met update unless you are in the north or east.
  17. This is the problem, like December, the potential Atlantic incursion gets delayed and delayed so by the time it does get there the cold air has gone. Who wants -10 air when its cloudy and dry in mid-March?
  18. I know my preference ... lets just hope one ofvthem delivers some sort of battleground scenario before the uppers slowly moderate.
  19. GFS Ens not particularly wonderful for the west bar the 3 days 5th to 8th.
  20. Yes, 2 trends at the moment, neither good for a 'historic spell', decreasing winds and a pretty rapid encroachment from the south west at day 8, gfs 18 almost identical to last nights ecm and todays 00z not far off. GFS op actually keeps the cold in longer than the mean...average indicates a 4 day period where snowfall is possible, however as Crewe says its looking dry at the moment away from the east.
  21. I daren't post the ecm day 9 and 10 chart on the other thread..
  22. Dont worry, we're heading into the magical 168 timeframe, this is when the models start to pick up on little features which end up diverting the cold uppers away from the UK
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