Grass is starting to get that white colour, but can tell it will instantly lose it when snow loses intensity. Just need a solid moderate spell of snow.
Not sure, Met Office simply not having it, confident of rain Thursday afternoon/evening, which is odd as according to FAX we are a good 100 miles north of the front tomorrow.
ICON 12Z compared to 06z for Thursday. 0C isotherm pretty much exact same place at 6pm, -5C isotherm slightly further North. At 9pm they seem to drop South quicker than the 06z.
I've also got the horizontal sniizzle. For what it's worth the met office app forecast is the best it's been so far. No rain symbols anymore, 8 hour sleet on Thursday afternoon, other than that all snow from now to Friday lunch time.
Think I would just about be OK if reality matched the mean, but unfortunately the tightest cluster is on the milder side of the mean and the direction of movement has been North so far today.
Doesn't sound too amazing for Thursday. Think as it stands we will have to settle for a period of rain Thursday afternoon/evening. Let's hope for further corrections south.
I thought there would be more agreement for tomorrow at least given the front had made landfall in the British Isles by the time the evening models got their data, but apparently not.
17 hours away... GFS thinks there will be nothing there on Wednesday and rain there on Thursday. Harmonie thinks there will be snow there in both cases. Shambles.