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Snowy L

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Everything posted by Snowy L

  1. Snowy L
    Yes hopefully a Storm Arwen scenario but with better blocking to follow.
  2. Snowy L
    Some light snizzle giving a dusting on some areas.
  3. Snowy L
    Well models improving with one half of the problem (stronger northern blocking), but we really need improvements on weakening the giant Mediterranean high developing next weekend.
  4. Snowy L
    Doesn't change outcome on Sunday/Monday, but better Greenland heights and low oriented a bit better (ENE/WSW instead of NNE/SSW)
  5. Snowy L
    I am happy for them especially when loads have missed out on any big snow event for years, though I can never outgrow the feeling of missing out though when it comes to snow
  6. Snowy L
    Yes you can see it moving Northwest but the darker colours never move past Cambridge. Not falling for another fool's chase again. Trying to ignore it all seeing every corner of England get snow so far.
  7. Snowy L
    This breakdown has a lot more support, but I wouldn't bet against models underestimating Northern heights either just like last week. Won't be enough to stop the breakdown imo but hopefully enough to not have a dartboard low to our Northwest not moving anywhere.
  8. Snowy L
    Only the UK can get raging Southwesterlies from a completely dead Atlantic. Would be the perfect send off to 2022 after having a once in a decade 10-day December cold spell result in near zero snow for my area.
  9. Snowy L
    Stopped now and doubt I'll see anything more. Only a dusting, but good to see some snow, would have been a travesty if we got nothing from a 10 day cold spell.
  10. Snowy L
    We have a small covering, light snow at the moment.
  11. Snowy L
    Happens a lot ahead of an Atlantic low where there is widespread light snow. A lot of the time (and almost certainly this time due to lack of strong easterlies) it will just be light stuff giving a dusting but sometimes (1st March 2018 best example) it can give a better snow event than the actual Atlantic low itself. Given how dry this cold spell had been I'll happily take the former.
  12. Snowy L
    Going to be a frustrating week ahead imo.
  13. Snowy L
    Chances of that moving inland as something more organised? Does happen with showers rarely.
  14. Snowy L
    Yes Atlantic low looking slidey again.
  15. Snowy L
    -2C already here.
  16. Snowy L
    They are reflections of the pressure around the Arctic and North Atlantic the models are forecasting though I think? They are not a separate thing.
  17. Snowy L
    The rate at which the polar vortex in the Arctic goes from zero to 100 after day 10 (low res) is a bit suspicious to put it lightly.
  18. Snowy L
    I've also found it odd that no real low pressure wants to take over the North Sea region. Going through tonight's ECM it's either very weak low pressure or a no man's land all the way through. Any ideas as to why that's happening?
  19. Snowy L
    It is shifting east the 24 hour jumps are making it a bit confusing, but between 144 and 168 the secondary low has moved into Genoa and the main one is about to go under imo. Edit: ECM is the Met Office 70% scenario at t192.
  20. Snowy L
    Not much snow in the ECM but it looks great for locking the cold in.
  21. Snowy L
    Still though, a polar vortex lobe forming one day and high pressure the next. Unforgivably bad.
  22. Snowy L
    UKMO the perfect widespread blizzard chart. No further North than that though please!
  23. Snowy L
    It's a decaying front, so will definitely be a case of nowcasting.
  24. Snowy L
    That is a big improvement on yesterday's 12z. Hopefully a case of GFS being 12-24 hours behind the rest.
  25. Snowy L
    Decent agreement between ECM and UKMO this morning, always a good sign. I remember the channel islands being buried in snow sometime in March 2013.
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