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Posts posted by Ross Andrew Hemphill
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When is the next update from NHC?
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EWRC underway?
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A few forecasts showing severe weather in Scotland, others not. Who do I believe? really dying for all this potential to be put to use
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39.3°C in Kent
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16 hours ago, Mr Frost said:Well I type this as torrential rain pours down outside with winds gusting to 35mph - feels like a late September night!
Temperatures here are forecast to go no higher than mid 20’s (I am near the West coast of Scotland ) but there is a chance of thunderstorms also so I can’t really complain! (Latest GFS for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday)
On a side note being a big lover of weather extremes I am really looking forward to seeing how high the temperatures go down South - extremely jealous of you all!
Once again it has been a fascinating read in here today - these plumes always deliver great discussion from all members. (Those who prefer hot or cool Summers)
Have a good night all!!
Didn’t realise we lived so close Mr Frost, that rain was horrendous last night but quite nice at the same time!
Anyway, the models give Western Scotland a high of 26C on Tuesday and Thursday which is really good for this area, along with some big thunderstorms in between!! If we do break the record(s) in the South it would be incredible, but at the same time I worry about a lot of people who really can’t deal with the heat and especially the humidity, so please stay safe everyone and enjoy the crazy ride! ️
Crazy that the models usually backtrack or push the heat West, not this time...
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Landfall confirmed??
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3 minutes ago, Greggers said:
Are the 850 temps what is at 850 metres or am I wrong?... trying to understand the models better.
850hpa is around 1500 metres above sea level
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GFS 18z has the plume furthest west
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37.7C North London, Saturday 29th June.
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Talk about slack pressure! What effect would this have regarding storms?
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The low is ever so slightly further west at +42 on the GFS, and a little weaker
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Storm risk is more widespread due to the low being a bit further east.
Heat is more widespread too, approaching 30°C in Western Scotland and parts of Western England
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If this is what the models are showing in June, what’re the plumes gonna look like in August!!
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The heat is on its way winter is over!!
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Went from a snow event in Scotland to a snow event in Wales and the Midlands in about two runs, crazy...
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Potential for some snow in Scotland this weekend on the GFS 12z, down to about 300m so definitely one to watch in the next few days!
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Hurricane Dorian
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
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