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Longtimelurker

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Everything posted by Longtimelurker

  1. Longtimelurker
    F0ok that's tasty. For what it's worth Met office don't have an automated FC for my location in Donegal but closest place to me over the border showing a lot more snow falling on Sunday than it did earlier.
  2. Longtimelurker
    @booferking Where do you reckon the northern extent of snow will be on Sunday
  3. Longtimelurker
    Looks like we'll have to wait until tomorrow evening to be sure where will get it worst.
  4. Longtimelurker
    GFS looks a little further North this run. Still much uncertainty IMO. Hopefully comes further north
  5. Longtimelurker
    I didn't hear that. What's your source? Their proper warning doesn't kick in until midnight. The one for this evening only mentioned slushy deposits
  6. Longtimelurker
    Everything white outside now. It's big huge flakes. Proper snow not the wet super duper lol.
  7. Longtimelurker
    Donegal 1 hour ago, road cam Ground turning white outside with me now as well. Heavy snow
  8. Longtimelurker
    Looking good across the North at 8pm
  9. Longtimelurker
    Met Éireann just upgraded their warning from Yellow to Orange Always a good sign
  10. Longtimelurker
    White outside now but it's hail haha
  11. Longtimelurker
    .... And Ireland???
  12. Longtimelurker
    http://www.met.ie/forecasts/3hour.asp
  13. Longtimelurker
    First signs of snow flakes. Heavy sleet atm in donegal. I'm just 40m asl. Assuming it's snowing on the higher roads
  14. Longtimelurker
    Met office video forecast this evening showed a spell of snow to low levels for several hours on Sunday before turning more to rain as the milder air pushed in. With frontal snowfall you don't need as low as uppers as you do with showers. Anyway it will change 50 times before Sunday and we could still be in the dark come Sat evening. I remember the blizzard in 2013, the NW of England had an Amber warning for snow until the day before but never made it to them. I think there is a bias in the models to show it push through us, so my hunch is it moves further to the south and we stay largely dry in the northern third or we get a decent spell of snow with more rain to the south of us.
  15. Longtimelurker
    It's only the first week of Winter guys and we have a snow warning already to kick in in 52 hours. Just enjoy it and chill lol
  16. Longtimelurker
    Met office Outlook states confidence is very low. Meaning they don't have a clue what will happen. I don't place much credence in background signals it's the same every year with them. Predictions made by them concerning cold get pushed back and back and next you know winter is over and it didn't deliver and nothing is even mentioned of it again. An explanation of oh this happened to prevent it. Thenrinse repeat next winter. Met Office confidence is low for the next 30 days so the writing certainly isn't on the wall for December. We can't even see the wall.
  17. Longtimelurker
    Just curious according to ECM run would Eastern(central and northern) Eastern France likely see snow from it? Above 200m Anyone know which site uses ECM for its daily forecasts? Like accuweather uses GFS. TY
  18. Longtimelurker
    Didn't the "bad" Northerly occur around the 18th of December 2010. Any chart for it? I'm intrigued.
  19. Longtimelurker
    As posted above big switch to the West, Remarkable 90-100% chance of sustained winds above 58mph in the purple are Hurricane Risk As someone posted earlier, the euro4 called it
  20. Longtimelurker
    As the Euro-4 alluded to a big switch to the West
  21. Longtimelurker
    Has it shifted West again? NW looks like it will take it worse than the SE from that?
  22. Longtimelurker
    Irish weather FC mentioned all areas of the country may be upgraded to a red warning in the next couple of hours. I never seen such a dramatic weather forecast.
  23. Longtimelurker
    I've been following http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?cone#contents updates every 6 hours. The centre was tracking through my area yesterday, nows its shifted well to the East today.
  24. Longtimelurker
    Seems to have moved more to the East, bad for my location as in it won't be as severe.
  25. Longtimelurker
    Wind field at T45. Cat1 sustained winds inland over SW Ireland.
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