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Everything posted by Badgers01
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It’s definitely further north than initially forecast
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The main band looks further North than initially forecast looks relatively dry across the Manchester and S Yorks region ..
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The precipitation maps above not sure which model show much higher totals of Lake District particularly N Lakes than some I have seen - wonder if we will get an amber warning into Cumbria later ?
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Model output discussion - into the last third of January
Badgers01 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Arpege has the highest rainfall in areas a bit different from the metro warnings areas ? Not sure if it is the best for rainfall at high resolution? -
??
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Thank you for that insight - I think in the interest of getting out a clear message to the public it’s probably best viewed as one named storm !!?? The met office really need to focus on clarity the way the warnings are overlayed on the website it is really difficult to decipher them.
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Badgers01 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Just up the road in Cobham and I can agree the worst day here too ! The river mole is rising fast too wondered why no weather warning for rain and surface flooding ..? -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Badgers01 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Please feel free to post a map showing such ! -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Badgers01 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not sure who indicative Preston is for many other areas though -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Badgers01 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No, I think your apathy is shared by many on here - until we get some run to run consistency on a solution nothing is settled - also feels like the landing zone for cold is constantly pushed back 24 th is is the new 20th ! -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Badgers01 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not sure they show UK going really cold either, a temp anomaly of -1c still shows we are still marginal a little cooler but nothing too noteworthy yet . -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Badgers01 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
‘ if that low would just disrupt southeast ‘ is a perennial favourite of mine -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Badgers01 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I thing it was some sort of collective hysteria we witnessed over the holiday period ! -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Badgers01 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Don’t forget the Thames freezing over!!! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Badgers01 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
The latest ecm 46 day is a kick in the stomach if you like cold - trough to the west and long fetch south westerlies - confused.com ! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Badgers01 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Grim morning on the first ‘proper’ working day of the year 4c DP 2.5c here in Cobham N Surrey - not hopeful for snow -
Looks like a backward step with the uppers - marginal to the end
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Badgers01 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Couldn’t agree more ! -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Badgers01 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not to mention the “GFS has got this it, it models over the US better ... etc “ the UkMO model really is the decider ! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards
Badgers01 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
With a lot of London and South East under uppers of just -6 on that chart still looks marginal for many of us ... wintry mix and no settling by the looks of it !!,?