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Badgers01

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Everything posted by Badgers01

  1. It’s definitely further north than initially forecast
  2. The main band looks further North than initially forecast looks relatively dry across the Manchester and S Yorks region ..
  3. The precipitation maps above not sure which model show much higher totals of Lake District particularly N Lakes than some I have seen - wonder if we will get an amber warning into Cumbria later ?
  4. The Arpege has the highest rainfall in areas a bit different from the metro warnings areas ? Not sure if it is the best for rainfall at high resolution?
  5. That’s not the case we are on our 3rd named storm of the season so far that is all !
  6. Thank you for that insight - I think in the interest of getting out a clear message to the public it’s probably best viewed as one named storm !!?? The met office really need to focus on clarity the way the warnings are overlayed on the website it is really difficult to decipher them.
  7. I totally agree those images show the general themes and trends were correctly predicted surely !
  8. Just up the road in Cobham and I can agree the worst day here too ! The river mole is rising fast too wondered why no weather warning for rain and surface flooding ..?
  9. No, I think your apathy is shared by many on here - until we get some run to run consistency on a solution nothing is settled - also feels like the landing zone for cold is constantly pushed back 24 th is is the new 20th !
  10. Not sure they show UK going really cold either, a temp anomaly of -1c still shows we are still marginal a little cooler but nothing too noteworthy yet .
  11. ‘ if that low would just disrupt southeast ‘ is a perennial favourite of mine
  12. I thing it was some sort of collective hysteria we witnessed over the holiday period !
  13. The latest ecm 46 day is a kick in the stomach if you like cold - trough to the west and long fetch south westerlies - confused.com !
  14. Grim morning on the first ‘proper’ working day of the year 4c DP 2.5c here in Cobham N Surrey - not hopeful for snow
  15. Looks like a backward step with the uppers - marginal to the end
  16. Not to mention the “GFS has got this it, it models over the US better ... etc “ the UkMO model really is the decider !
  17. With a lot of London and South East under uppers of just -6 on that chart still looks marginal for many of us ... wintry mix and no settling by the looks of it !!,?
  18. Agreed but it is the truth nonetheless the uppers are too high for widespread snow, and a waste of great looking charts ..
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