[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Perfect. 

Enough of the vortex left across Canada to prevent the high retrogressing to far west. 

Low heights into the majority of Europe. 

Lows spawning and running under the block.. 

As good as it gets. 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

I'd presume a correction south.. 

You just have to look at the way the models have handled the Atlantic fronts moving in this week Initally it was a rain fest with Atlantic low after Atlantic low. 

As the models move closer and they realise they can't displace the cold air they will continue to correct south. 

That's what usually happens anyway. 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Just now, Griff said:

For the lovers of clichés, just for fun, does gfs op attempt a reload and another stab? 

Trough drops down engages with vortex over northern europe 

Heights retorgoress to Greenland 

Beast is unleashed. 

Simples. 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Para gets there quicker and is a brilliant cold run... 

 

GFS sais hang on a minute... You want the beast here it comes.. 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Para has multiple snow events to 174. 

 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Just now, MJB said:

Hope you are correct , he did start to mention under cutting 

The BBC just use the dermitatic ECM.. 

You can watch thier forecasts or look at the model for yourself. 

Don't be surprised if as each run ticks down the lows slide further and further.. 

Models overcook the potential to displace cold air. 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

ECM with snow for part of Wales, the Midlands and South West England on Sunday 

See attached mean below as well

GFS, however more of rain to snow event as the low slides.   

Place your bets 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Second Slider alert.... 

 

 

 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Icon goes for a snow event south Wales southern England again. 

Then this at 105.. 

Were not far away from a great undercut. 

 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

"WHAT A CHART"

Look at what's ready to drop as well.. 

Mega cold would ensue. 

All hypothetical btw, but it's nice to dream. 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Well this would be a turn out for the books... 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

You have 4 models that potentially show the cold reasserting itself at day 5,  even if it's only for a brief period saying it won't snow in the south in the next week is ludicrous. 

 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

4 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

Some areas have done okay during the last few weeks but many have had no lying snow . Without deep cold and a decent duration of that it will always more likely be a case of hit and miss affairs with many left very disappointed . The way the media have gone on you’d think the whole country was blanketed in snow.  

Have to disagree with this nick as I look out of the window here .. 

Large parts of Wales today are under snow.. 

Even swansea has a decent covering which is right on the coast, large swathes of the Midlands right down to London... 

The North East and North West have had laying snow.. 

Scotland has had a few days already as had Northern Ireland...

Barring the far south west of England I'm pretty sure most have done better this year already than we have for a few years. 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Finished the day with the additional showers with 8cm of laying snow.. 

5cm last night and 3cm in the previous shower. 

On to the next one, I won't rest till its 53cm. 

 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Still going here.. 

Missed most of the showers today but seem to be in prime position for another couple of cms. 

Will measure when it stops.  

Fingers crossed for the rest of you. 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Blizzards here now... 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Coming down quick now here... 

 

Could get a nice 2cm top up with this... 

 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Just started now... 

Medium intensity 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

10 minutes ago, blackrose73 said:

This heavy blob has my name on it! I just hope it doesn't lose intensity or change course.

Let you know as waiting for it here..  

 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

5 minutes ago, blackrose73 said:

This is the problem with snow, it's impossible to be satisfied. We're always left wanting more. I had about four inches early this morning and a brief shower just now, but it's not enough. I want more!

I'm the same.. 

Its quite a weird obsession but I want a blizzard that lasts for days with snow that cripples transport and cuts the village off. 

Just once in my lifetime that's all in aksing for

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

These showers are merging now and should all fall as snow... 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Nice covering here.. 

Haven't measured yet, but I think about 5cm. 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Very heavy here now.. 

With main band yet to hit... 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Just started snowing here... 

Come downstairs as my partner is shouting at me for going to the window all the time... 

[Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion]

Upgrades.? 

Where is the question though...