[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

another big jump in pink at 2am!!

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, Kentspur said:

Def not here 5c here in Dartford the highest temp anywhere in SE/EA looking at that! Were a right little hot spot at this rate will take half of Sunday to lower to 0c lol

bit of a warm drift off the estuary I am guessing - you will need those falling uppers probably but they are in the post. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, Mr Brown said:

Hope you mean 3am haha

I do - I've become nocturnal what with the weather and the cricket - no idea what day or time it is most of the time.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Conditions gradually becoming conducive for snow across kent. 

Expecting most pink by around 3pm - based on various weather stations readings and the direction of travel of temps and dewpoints. 

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Snow Pixel upgrade alert for the 1.50 radar screen!!

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Think we are in transition at my location now - a lot more sleety than it was half and hour ago. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, wellington boot said:

What do you mean when you say ppn is really pepping up if you then say it doesn't look too good for heavy stuff? 

I don't think this will be marginal a few hours from now, and there's plenty coming for many and heaps for lucky ones. Stay patient.

Its pepping from really light stuff it was showing an hours ago. 

Separately, I was pointing out that you don't really needs yellows and reds to get a good accumulation of ppn - based on the early January (non) event.

Sorry if it didnt make a lot of sense - its quite late now!!

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

North Sea ppn is really pepping up 

Radar doesn't look that impressive for heavy stuff - but very similar look to the early January stuff that was wrong side of marginal - and a lot of places saw over 30mm of rain in 24-48 period. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Wind really picked up in Tunbridge Wells - still mostly rain in my location. 

Doesn't feel that cold yet. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Some Darcy associated PPN now showing on the Net Weather radar - looks like Suffolk, Essex and Kent in the game

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, Howie said:

What would the 2m temperatures look like for the end of the GFS run

Below zero throughout the day - not quite as cold as earlier in the season as there would be a degree or so extra of solar heating - still damn cold

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Heavy rain now in Royal Tunbridge Wells - does feel appreciably colder than an hour ago. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

5 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

We moved a few years ago used to be 135ft asl but now down to 81ft asl so marginality is awful for here

Just up the road though in Rayleigh it can get to around 200ft asl and thats only 3 miles away

Bet you are not looking forward to the Greenland shelf melting!!!

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

looking further ahead - 18z GFS does indeed keep the cold coming for a good 10 days.

Lots will change - but I am now thinking a swift breakdown from the Atlantic is now looking like a big outsider. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

4 minutes ago, hernebaylooby said:

Hmm im sure it is but maybe not the version you see on bbc 1

The Dutch version, perhaps?

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, lottiekent said:

Exactly. I can’t understand the doom-mongering posts when the event hasn’t even started!

Going exactly to plan here as far as I can tell. Temp dropping about a degree every 90 minutes, down to 3.8c now with a DP of 3.3c.

Link to my garden weather station if anyone wanted to take a look..

Personal Weather Station Dashboard | Weather Underground

WWW.WUNDERGROUND.COM

---

Weather Underground provides local & long-range weather forecasts, weather reports, maps & tropical weather conditions for locations worldwide.

 

Cheers Lottie

Love that graph with the Temps and Dewpoints - couple of hours I reckon before things get very interesting. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

6 minutes ago, hernebaylooby said:

Come on darcy paste me in white stuff

Is that a quote from Pride and Prejudice?

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

looks like the Chilterns getting in on the action now. 

Not long now !!

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Just now, hernebaylooby said:

Come on darcy paste me in white stuff

This is a family forum, if you don't mind

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, Don said:

Time to watch the radar I think and not the models!

here, here

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

You’ll do well stu..watch

from radar watching alone - confidence is increasing.

Appreciate this isn't the whole of the region however. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Based on radar trends - I am expecting most of Kent to be 'wintry' by 1am - plenty of ppn piling in as well.

I know Kent is only a part of the region, so a bit IMBY - but also the part of the region that has been largely starved so far. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Just now, Daniel* said:

That was subsequently delayed to early hours people who have reported wintriness that’s ahead of schedule.

I'm amazed at the push into Kent with sleetiness - observations are not supporting this particularly - didn't expect anything south of London until 1am at the earliest. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

worth remembering that the big push of cold from the north and east was between 9pm and 3am - that has been modelled quite consistently for a couple of days now - so everything is going to plan. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Neilsouth said:

Yep I've noticed that, I might pop outside......... 

Transition in full swing further north too - expecting reports in Herts, Beds and Bucks over the next hour or so