Hocus Pocus

The magic of reverse logic on a BBC weather app, downgrades intensity of shower activity only for real time nose pressed against a window watching to,confirm moderate/heavy snow shower. ?

The heavy snow showers on the BBC app have now given way to light showers, must be a good omen that. ?

Good old trusty BBC Weather App. ?

They never use to be Karyo, it’s only in the last few years the quality appears to have gone downhill somewhat.

Great start to the day up here around 2” snow with the threat of more to follow throughout daylight hours. The MetO warnings are rubbish, they’ve just take down the Amber warning for tomorrow but have nothing but a yellow for today.

I’m out of the Amber zone by some 15 miles or so. I’ve got lots of outside jobs to catch up on so seen as it’s going to be a fairly benign few days I’ll crack on. ?

Chris Fawkes Tweet has certainly dampened my enthusiasm so it’s best to expect nowt and that way we won’t be all that surprised.

I’m puzzled at the Amber warnings for anywhere North of Manchester going of the available data at hand.

We need the power of thought to increase our chances on Sunday......... Now let’s all join hands and wish it be. ?

I think it’s best we avoid the MOD thread until after Sunday/Monday, it’s already full of will it snow IMBY down in the Home Counties.?

Have faith......... Wednesdays system definitely won’t miss us. ️

Indeed they are but they rarely verify, the Euro4 is the only one I pay attention to.

How many times do they verify is a better question. ?

Another storm in a teacup really, the problem with the U.K. is the chances of getting a nationwide snow event are slim to none at the best of times so for those who get snow good luck for those of us who don’t ( myself included ) back to the outer reaches of FI looking for obscure synoptic patterns that may, just may deliver. ???

Another storm in a teacup IMBY. Dry and rather cold with no chance in hell of anything falling from the sky tonight. I’ll wager my left nut now that Sunday’s event turns into a no show for those North of the Ribble. ???

As it stands but I wouldn’t wager any money on it just yet. ?

It wouldn’t be the first time nor the last if it does.

Still nothing here and looking at the radar I can’t see much in the way of precipitation in my neck of the woods.

‘‘Tis only weather as they say. ?

IMBY I expect to pick up one or two snow showers overnight and possibly into tomorrow morning, thereafter nothing to see here. ?

I think some of us North of the Ribble will be wondering what all the fuss is about come next week, looking like a dry but cold snap of weather from Thursday Evening onwards.

Indeed John. Though for some the laws of physics need not apply when viewing any model output when it shows something they’re not too keen on. From years off model watching purely from a rank amateurs perspective these sort of set ups are never resolved until +24-48hrs, the genral theme of a low dropping on a SE axis is relatively straight forward once within these timescales but the boundary between rain and snow less so with so many variables that come into play. A great learning curve watching this unfold though.

Looking like those of us North of the Ribble will miss out on the action if the output turns out to be correct. Hopefully we see winds swing to a more Westerly element, purely IMBY of course.

Off topic I know but to be fair the MetO haven’t been spouting anything, their forecasts have often highlighted the uncertainty going forward.

It’s always amusing viewing others hypermanic reactions to each and every model run and then go to proclaim that said run is set in stone at +264hrs, until the next run of course.