You must have missed the MBY ( My Back Yard ) bit, I don't reside in Manchester.
You said a brief slushy mess???? John Hammond has just said snow piling up in the North overnight ( tonight ).
Karyo, are you being serious, parts of the North and North West will end up with some decent coverings of snow. IMBY this is for sure going to be the coldest week for some time.
Surely if its worthless it can't be guaranteed ???
At this short range there must be some chance of verification..........................do you think?
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015011006/gfsnh-0-168.png?6
Disturbance in the NW running down the UK
http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2015/01/10/basis06/ukuk/rart/15011706_2_1006.gif
Ends up with wintry ppn IMBY
JFF of course
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2015010312/gfsnh-0-276.png?12
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2015010312/gfsnh-0-300.png?12
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2015010312/gfsnh-0-324.png?12
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2015010312/gfsnh-0-348.png?12
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2015010312/gfsnh-0-372.png?12
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2015010312/gfsnh-0-384.png?12
A dream from GFSP
Why do you say this? that is an odd comment
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015010312/gfsnh-0-384.png?12
The 384 chart is the last one we see and it doesn't show Zonal returning?????
GFS still hinting at something colder mid month
3c 3c 7c 9c 7c 7c 10c 12c 9c 6c 3c 1c 1c 1c 0c -1c
Double digit days are very few, blink and you miss them
http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/159/
It did happen one year, snow showers came through the Cheshire gap and gave MBY a good covering in a very short space of time.......mid to late 80's
Rare though as you say
Both GFS and GFS ops have HP build close to UK around 120h-168h.GEFS has some ENS support with 50% showing HP formation at 120 and 144h.incuding one or two with Scandi HP.
so 1 or 2 days then
Ok
Followed by
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn8417.gif
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn10817.gif
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn13217.gif
So the Daffs will think twice ...eh?
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn7817.gif
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn10217.gif
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn12617.gif
Far from mild