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Banbury

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Everything posted by Banbury

  1. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2014122000/ECH1-216.GIF?20-12 Correct , it wasn't exactly a disaster was it
  2. At 144 GFS and UKMO look fairly similar. I wish people would stop writing off a run at +24
  3. How many more times, you need to stop taking each Operational as gospel, look at the ENS
  4. If you take the GFSP this really IS as good as it gets http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2014122006/gfsnh-0-174.png?6
  5. Why are people taking the Ops as gospel, look at the ENS an you will see it is very much on the mild side. So how do you come to the conclusion it will be bang on the money????
  6. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014121918/gfsnh-0-120.png?18 Virtually identical , not really sure how we can judge its doomed from this point onwards ????
  7. Another mild outlier on the way from the 12z ECMWF - http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1921.gif … - what arrives after this period could be very interesting. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^From Matt Hugo, at the time of his Tweet Im not sure the ENS were out^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ I'm wondering if his comment is more in hope ??
  8. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2014121906/gfsnh-0-204.png?6 Looks to be fairly similar to me
  9. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014121906/gfsnh-0-288.png?6 Decent end to the year
  10. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014121906/gfsnh-0-228.png?6 Great shout
  11. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014121906/gfsnh-0-186.png?6 This looks like moving towards the ECM
  12. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014121906/gfsnh-0-168.png?6 This could end up very good
  13. At the point of post , the comment was a fair one, would you not agree , and at present anything after 120 could be considered FI
  14. Just been notified NCEP is having major problems and data is being delayed by up to 2 hours at the moment. This will impact GFS/GFSP and GEFS. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ From Brian on TWO
  15. Looking beyond 5 days is a gamblers game, the ENS suggest such a split at 120 hours.
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