Dr. Astro

12z puts us back in the firing line...

Looks real nice & deep, that will do them the world of good. How's the peaks? Might pop up there this weekend with the dog.

Glad someone else sees it! If we could get the height's more into the Arctic region, split the vortex, it would look uncanny. Maybe, just maybe ...

It always seems to do that in Irlam - two cells split and it goes around. I do think the NW has a chance tomorrow, but more likely Monday into Tuesday.

Best to ignore the majority of the stuff that's being posted in there at the moment to be honest. Someone's let the kindergarten's onto their PC's. It's such a volatile situation that nobody knows where it will snow yet, best to wait until Sunday 18Z to have a decent grasp.

Seen that earlier, it also looks as though it wasn't a crashed landing either, everything went normal, except it only opened itself by half instead of full and the signal went dead. Still.. Landing something on Mars is a feat in it's own right.

I wouldn't have though so... Unless it's the highlands of Scotland and we have a sustained period of very cold weather. It's never reached -30C in the UK I believe since records began. -27C yes.

Hail with a little bit of snow mixed in just passed through Manchester. It's getting colder as a few hours ago it was just rain.

Can't you give it a rest in the MOD thread ? Please... For your sanity and everyone elses...

10 years of being here that MOD thread is just insane. I think people are actually crying at their computers because it's not snowing in the SE. It's quite bizarre.

Mm, it's 3.1C here and 1C dew point (Manchester) Too marginal. Hoping to catch a shower tonight when it cools down a bit.

You can clearly see the cold air digging in and the convection starting: http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=radar;sess=

Brilliant Kev. :rofl:

Feb 1996 Now:

GFS all over the place at the moment, but reminds me of 1996 - everything shunted further West and the UK becomes a battleground. I think this is going to be a "now casting" situation as it's all so volatile. Nice to watch though :-)

Yes, the cold air is digging in this region now and should rapidly start to turn from sleet & hail to snow as the day goes on. Irish Sea is looking quite convective too, and can see Anvils moving in, probably all hail at the moment, but that cold air is digging in.

That's right WH - I think this is more important to look at on future runs now to see if the trend carries on. You can see the Siberian High moving west quite a lot and pushing out any mild sectors, which will only be good for us in the long run.

Take heed at this post people & the one AJ just posted. I made the same mistake, without looking at the charts this morning, jumped into the MOD thread and seen some members posting like the world had just ended. Don't make the fatal mistake of following each run & thinking that's it. To my surprise, I have looked at the charts this morning and they look fine. Cold & Snowy for a lot of places, just listen to the more experienced posted IMO, I have read some on here today saying "Coldish" and "rain for most" - which simply isn't true, whether this is knee jerk, or just plain can't read the charts, although i'm thinking it's the latter, as when I see these kind of posts, they are never backed up with sufficient data or charts, wonder why? Anyways, right in the near time frame we have snow risks Midland North: Sunday see's chances down the East and into Anglia: Tuesday see's quite a country wide event: Wednesday see's snow risk for the North: Temperatures are VERY cold, not coldish: -15C into Scotland -10C Northern England -11C Northern England Were now well over a week of very cold weather: FI reaches -10C into Scotland Knee Jerk reactions are not welcome.

Expectations are different from what the Charts currently show. The one Steve posted = Snow, unless you can show us why on that chart he posted it would be rain south of the M4 please ?

I don't see what you mean with the ship is sinking? What is sinking? It's a UK Cold High, and after the snow would bring very cold temperatures to the UK, and the lying snow from earlier in the week would probably remain. It's a very snowy outlook, followed by a very cold outlook for at least a week. Rather some can't read the charts properly (Not a dig at you Karlos), or are expecting another 2010 event X10.

Thanks Ian for your input, a little bit more of a headache for Exeter then wrt differentiating solutions across the board.

We don't want to see anymore corrections west. Seen this many time's where half our region misses out as it slides through N.Wales and down south.

This run is better for the South, but less so for NW & Central areas. No doubt it will change again though in due time. Decent run up to now, better upstream already.

It's because you don't live in the South

I don't think you get AJ's point. It's not so much what it is showing, but as Fergie said yesterday with his "ad nauseum" comment (Which was rather good) - There is ZERO point in posting these charts for something so far away, as verification levels are just ridiculously low, so therefore there is no real need to be discussing where it will snow, and who will get snow, as I guarantee on the next GFS run, it will be different again. Might as well post a CFS chart 1000 hours away showing where it will rain...