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inghams85

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Everything posted by inghams85

  1. inghams85
    Look at the heights split at the pole!!! WOW what a turn around. Guys we now know it's only at T-72 that models can model the correct solution of energy from the SSW. It's going to be like this for every day of this next two weeks so let's all promise not to look any further than that?
  2. inghams85
    Look at the difference in heights already on the GFS to the North East. The models are terrible with this scenario and it makes all the difference when a mesoscale short wave makes all the difference
  3. inghams85
    It's not a case of we've lost all chance now because the second warming will open up another chance. It's a case of being in or close to March and needing the position of the second chance being able to advect -10 uppers and lower at that time of year. As singularity states the high pulling in that cold from Asia does give us that chance
  4. inghams85
    You can also see how much closer the cold air is. It's not about the yellows its the angle of the ridging as well
  5. inghams85
    Not true the angle at 87 hours is more vertical and the heights over Greenalnd held back it's better
  6. inghams85
    The 18z ensembles are terrible. Agreement on a warm up and only small support for a cool down after the 21st. Oh dear.......
  7. inghams85
    Cheers for ruining my next half hour on meteociel ????????
  8. inghams85
    Agreed going back to the original idea 5 days ago. I like it. When retrogression comes it should leave us with less chance of West based negative NAO
  9. inghams85
    I don't mind the ECM. Okay no UK high but the heights building out of Scandi on the 168..... Slower but should be better going forward and opens up Scandi heights instead of Greenland ones
  10. inghams85
    The GFS 12z is trending even worse for The initial latitude of the MLB
  11. inghams85
    I'm with BA sometimes when a SSW is too extreme and -NAO so strong this happens. If it was to happen it's going to be with these synpoptics. Just another variation but shows what may go wrong. Sometimes blocking is too blocky
  12. inghams85
    ??? my sentiments exactly! NO CHANCE
  13. inghams85
    Yeah and I agree with em! It's just nonsense that run its saying there is no SSW. The PV just can't do that..... the next time we have a strat warning remind me to not take the models serious!
  14. inghams85
    How can that ECM run even be possible with the current warming? Bin it the models are really really struggling it's like a bad soap opera! One good day one bad!
  15. inghams85
    Heights are 200miles further south. It's not a great start. It's delays well see if all routes lead to cold soon
  16. inghams85
    Very poor start to the 12z heights way lower around Iceland similar to the older ECM runs from 2 days ago
  17. inghams85
    It's the chunk of vortex left over Iceland that slows down the evolution. If you look at the ECM this had the same as well
  18. inghams85
    The lobe of lower heights over Iceland is the same as the ECM a move to this model by the looks
  19. inghams85
    The end of the run isnt implausible of course. We have a reverse flow pulling those lows into the Atlantic from Russia re-orientating the northern blocking and stopping retrogression to Greenland. Sometimes an extreme reverse flow can work against and let's be honest this an extreme SSW
  20. inghams85
    The changes compared to yesterday 12z's for the better are incredible..... Things are looking so interesting now!
  21. inghams85
    Last few frames show a quick shift South again and decay! What is going on lol we can't catch no luck!
  22. inghams85
    My radar shows 27 minutes snow with the next blob. We may get a centre metre of two. It's actually still intensifying. It should hit you about 21:55
  23. inghams85
    I think the second blob will miss. I'm watching the blob coming out of Scotland towards Cumbria. That is on a much better trajectory and is intensifying with more behind. Could be our 11pm-12pm streamer Edit you could be right it's started on a slightly further north trajectory we should get something
  24. inghams85
    Winds will begin to turn more and more Westerly from now. There is a very pronounce streamer for South Yorkshire bad West Yorkshire on the Euro4 by midnight so I'm hanging in yet
  25. inghams85
    Mate literally 5 miles out lol what the....
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