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inghams85

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Everything posted by inghams85

  1. inghams85
    Run the sequences over the next 18 hours on the GFS H500 and see where the light and darker blues are you will see were in a green area (which means less instability and cloud tops lower) you can see through the day these colours become darker shades of blue (which means more instability and higher clouds) heavier showers. Just wait and be patient
  2. inghams85
    No the Easterlies don't start properly till tomorrow this is the transition phase. Enjoy whatever we get today before tonight first band of heavy snow!
  3. inghams85
    Streamer in the South East, Streamer in the North East blue skies here lol Plenty of time though!
  4. inghams85
    Why have people gone to sleep?!?! South Yorkshire are about to get HIT! Streamer setting up unexpectedly! Good sign for tomorrow!
  5. inghams85
    Yeah this is exactly my thinking come next week! North Easterlies!
  6. inghams85
    ???? can't say mate I'm afraid but yeah this is a fluid situation!
  7. inghams85
    Long range on website
  8. inghams85
    MOGREPS mate. The next low filled behind and keeps us in Easterlies hence the text updates
  9. inghams85
    Remember the MOGREPS solution of a low skating along the channel. Look at the UKMO 144. We're nearly there. The MET have called this very well so far
  10. inghams85
    Yes Steve, things getting very interesting again were seeing a slow shift towards what was expected 3 days ago
  11. inghams85
    The speed of retrogression lots slower around Greenland and it's baby steps to the MOGREPS solution I spoke about yesterday. Things are getting there people.
  12. inghams85
    Just edited to Amber i didn't mean red lol
  13. inghams85
    Indeed! Tomorrow would be an amber but because showers will be so hit and miss they cant actually work out where. What i will say is when they sit the streamers set up expect last minute Amber warnings. Thats what I've been told from the horses mouth anyway!
  14. inghams85
    I think people are underestimating tomorrow's potential. 5-10cm warning is there for a reason. We're looking at nearly 24 hours of radar watching from midnight tonight which if you catch enough showers will comfortably put down at least 5cm's anywhere in Yorkshire. This before the shortwave even hits. We had -12 uppers in 2010 and we know what happened then.. ... Be very surprised!!
  15. inghams85
    If your 5 miles outside of the amber don't worry it is still a rough guide. Yellow areas look between 6 and 10cm quite readily anyway and orange 8-10 to possibly 15cm. It's a conservative warning. Expect changed by tomorrow morning when it's within range. 36-48 hours is still open to massive changed on snow this far out
  16. inghams85
    ???? had to calm some nerves. I have a family member close to the met and it's where my own learning has come from! All I'll say is wait till the morning!
  17. inghams85
    Notice the low is over Spain and on the 18z GFS it's over Northern France. Think Icon shift it 100 miles south and expect the turn north in the North Sea
  18. inghams85
    From the very latest output and had very strong ensemble support. This has been steadfast in cold until the middle of the month
  19. inghams85
    Can't tell you how i know but the MOGREPS moves the low across the channel as a much weaker affair with blizzards on the Northern edge. This is the basis of the Met forecasts. The other lows follow on the same track hence the mention of continued easterly winds following week. Calm down people.
  20. inghams85
    I'm rubbish at reading these mate. Does this show the front that moves North East to South West Tuesday?
  21. inghams85
    What's become more and more apparent is instead of one wave of cold easterlies Monday onwards there have been two waves and it's the second wave the models have had trouble with but it's actually the coldest period. 5 days ago I saw some ensemble members with very cold temps around 2nd/3rd and at the time could nt understand i thought it was a trough dropping into Scandi from a Northerly. Now i think we know
  22. inghams85
    Still no clusters out ???
  23. inghams85
    Typo! Apologies! East to West!
  24. inghams85
    With the level of cold over Scandinavia moving West to East disturbances and lows are more likely than a clean easterly flow in my opinion
  25. inghams85
    I can't stress how UNBLEIVABLE SNOWY this would be. Maybe not for those on the south coast and hence less excitement (I don't think this will verify tho) But for the southern Midlands northwards it's a snow machine it's scary how snowy it would actually be
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