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MattStoke

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Everything posted by MattStoke

  1. sheikhy it’s one of the few models that actually tends to under do snow accumulation. Rarely shows any for me even when I get plastered.
  2. Snowy ECM for central areas. Similar to Arpege and UKMO, and the GFS but that turns the snow to rain. GEM just blasts through milder air.
  3. Models look to be converging on a snow event for central areas, so Midlands the sweet spot. Although, still some uncertainty as the GEM is too far north and the GFS has snow turning to rain. UKMO, ECM and Arpege all give widespread snow, with around 15cm in the most favoured spots.
  4. I’d grab the Arpege 18z with both hands. GFS gives a dumping, too, but quickly turns to rain.
  5. Snow restricted to the north/north west of the region on the UKMO. Tend to find its snow charts are particularly poor, though.
  6. sheikhy Good for the north/north West Midlands. I find the UKMO snow charts to be particularly poor, though.
  7. WeatherArc Can’t rub in their faces. It’ll melt by the time we bring it down to them
  8. Nice ECM. I wonder how many in the model forum will again be hoping this ends up south of the UK to leave many areas dry and boring before it turns milder later. Or maybe they’ll finally have learned their lesson.
  9. Nice GFS 6z, with snow risk starting as early as Wednesday night and continuing into next Friday.
  10. raz.org.rain Some do make OTT, sensationalised claims, but not all and I’m fed up with people giving me stick for being ‘one of them’ every time I show interest in weather records. The irony is that those giving out such stick all repeat exactly the same lines whilst claiming to be free thinkers.
  11. Those of whose take interest in weather records, including warm records, must be scaremongers pushing an agenda that we’re conditioned into following. At least that’s what I’m constantly and boringly being told. Couldn’t be that we just have an interest in weather, particularly on a weather forum, and that we actually understand the science but don’t necessarily agree with government action on it.
  12. Record may have been even higher according to professional meteorologist Dan Holley.
  13. Second half of spring. Don't really get proper warmth until then but can still get significant cold until then.
  14. @Metwatch Well last year June and September were warmer than July and August. Very unusual.
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