jonboy

For me this hopefully will give science a real chance to observe true effects of a deep minimum which hopefully will give us a better insight into how solar cycles effect our planet and thus projections based on fact rather than theoretical models

1st was 11(the lowest number there is I believe) 2nd 0 3rd 11 4th 0 5th 0 6th 0 so yes 3 but could easily been 6 and would have been if laymans sunspot count was still happening

4.4 and 120mm

A couple of warm days predicted on the east coast then back below zero so winter is not over yet

Well that big ball of fire has ramped up from zero last week to a heady 26. In December 2012 it was 82 hardly the same level of activity. If such activity played a significant immediate role we would see a lot more input into the models. Solar activity if anything plays more to the broader teleconnections over a longer time span. For me the talk of this record breaking SSW may well be down to the level or not of solar activity but research will determine the impact. For now I would suggest this increase will not impact on whether an easterly occurs or how intense it is.

been the case for a while now counting spots that would not have been visible previously making it impossible to compare historic records!!!

Even with the same temperatures today the Thames wouldn't freeze totally because the flow is to great. So anyone using that as a barometer of climate will be sadly wrong

I hope I'm wrong as I have major external works to complete by mid march!!!

2.7 and 64mms

Just started to snow here in York

In the ski resort of Stowe in New England temps were around 8F on Tuesday today they are 42F and tomorrow 48F before dropping back to -3F Saturday afternoon. A 51F change in 24/36hrs

I understand there have been a number of avalanches over the last few days around Zermatt

All models have slightly different algorithms otherwise they would all churn out basically the same, equally I'm sure inputs for each are not the same hence the need to take each with a pinch of salt and see how each handles different situations. Gem does has its moments and if the scandi ridge does come off then your right it pick it first. I'm not sure why some get so het up about individual models if you don't trust it don't use it

What some will tell you is that there is greater volcanic activity the deeper you go into low or very low solar cycles. This is thought to be due to the weaker protection the sun offers earth in the form of its magnetic shield. So climatologists who suggest volcanic activity is the reason for climate effects like the maunder minimum fundamentally misunderstand cause and effect. The sun's impact on earth is wide and varied.

I don't believe we are entering a grand minimum such as the 'Maunder minimum' but we are entering a significant minimum which is likely to extend to until at least 2050. Given that the last few cycles where very active and greater than that seen in recorded time its is no wonder global temps reached the levels they have. I am convinced we will see global temps start to fall back which will be claimed as man's efforts reducing CO2 etc and not the sun's effects. Sunspot activity will be a lot lower than 2009 over the next 2/3 years. Seasons will become more defined but overall temps will be reduced.

Its always Fahrenheit in the states. For instance in the ski resort of Stowe in New England over the next few days the max temp is -4F and lowest is -16F then add on windchill!!!

2.4 with 97mm of percipitation

F.10 flux below 70 again also

The fact it remains unnumbered would suggest another backtrack and we will be at 102. 11 is the lowest number for a sunspot so I don't understand why its not numbered

Brutal cold over much of the USA anticipated in 7 days time I wonder what effect this may have down the road for us

Another blank day up to 97. The article is indeed an interesting read and it starts to set out how total irradiance can effect our climate from ozone loss or production to angular momentum etc which plays such a big part in how our climate works. We have seen a 13% increase in cosmic rays over the last cycle which is down to the strength or lack of it in this cycle. The sun should never be underestimated in its influence

So do you believe that solar cycles have no impact on ozone depletion or production?

Now that's dedication never see that happen in our national game

We must remember also the predicted level of cycle 25 is lower that this present cycle. Levels not seen in modern times last 200years or more. This is a great opportunity for science to better understand solar impacts over time

and flux has dropped to 68