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Gray-Wolf

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Everything posted by Gray-Wolf

  1. Gray-Wolf
    I'm surprised this hasn't drawn any comments? I've had 2 decades of promises that we are heading into a 'Maunder Like' minimum (and of the 'Global Cooling' such would bring us so we ought not worry/plan for AGW impacts?) If this team are even in the ballpark with their projection for a Sunspot max over 200 then surely, if a Maunder min brings cooling, then surely hyper active cycle adds into our warming woes whilst raising the spectre of satellite losses and burned out transformers across the CME facing side of the planet (should we see X class flares frequently striking Earth?)?
  2. Gray-Wolf
    Hmmmm...... New sunspot cycle could be one of the strongest on record, new research predicts PHYS.ORG In direct contradiction to the official forecast, a team of scientists led by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) is predicting that the Sunspot Cycle that started this fall could be one ...
  3. Gray-Wolf
    Sat. images show it undergoing some growth this a.m. I wonder how the daylight hours will treat it? Plenty of warmed ocean to go at too! I predict it to bomb back up into a Major again now it's free of land interaction?
  4. Gray-Wolf
    The Met office infra red image of the storm shows it still throwing up towers even though it's been dark for hours!
  5. Gray-Wolf
    Isn't a Chart like this supposed to be the opening shot in some Hollywood "Global Climate Catastrophe" Sci Fi Movie from the mid 1990's?........ https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ EDIT: Oh ,and let's not forget the one in the Med. of course........
  6. Gray-Wolf
    Any 'rough weather' will potentially spread out the ice but also toss the smaller bits in an endless supply of summer warmed waters (mixing up deeper warmth if the waves are big enough?) As for 'Barrentsz'? The Atlantification of our side of the basin means no halocline left to protect the ice from below just an endless feed of warmer waters flowing up on the end of the N.A.D. that is no longer insulated from the ice above by a deep Halocline layer. In the late 30's it was still impossible to travel into the basin from our side (the whalers went up between Greenland/Canada) due to multi storey blocks of ice blocking entry.... This year Polarstern went to the pole via that route.....
  7. Gray-Wolf
    http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php The high Arctic just doesn't seem to want to cool down? (unlike here!!!) and we're less than 100,000 away from being 2nd lowest on record? A very interesting Season this time but a continuation of the trend with the addition of the loss of our thick perenniall 'Banker ice' to the north of Greenland?
  8. Gray-Wolf
    Yup! Mother N. has had enough of us messing up her home and is now gonna take a bite out of 'Big Oil' EDIT: I wouldn't want to be on one of the offshore rigs right now!
  9. Gray-Wolf
    Isn't that NNE Wobble not just a pronounced Trochoidal wobble Steve?
  10. Gray-Wolf
    I seem to recall that as early as 07' I was raising concerns over the destruction of the Halocline and the unleashing of the heat below it making both the formation and maintenance of Sea Ice very different from in the old days of the Arctic. It appears I am not alone in those fears; https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/08/growing-underwater-heat-blob-speeds-demise-arctic-sea-ice?utm_campaign=NewsfromScience%3DTwitter%3DJHubbard#
  11. Gray-Wolf
    Wowser! She's got a bit of a shift on but then we've seen , these past 6 or 7 years, just how rapidly some storms Bomb into Majors? Interesting few hours of hot sun daylight ahead of us now She threaded the needle (as Katrina Did?) between Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula..... But Boy!, tRump had better hope he performs better than Bush jnr. back in 05' should She come into the Houston area and threaten lives in that Huge population?
  12. Gray-Wolf
    With ice so thin and fragmented in many peripheral areas (and within parts of the CAB?) it will not take much to see the ocean stirred up below (no need for a GAC....even a 990mb low could end up driving swells & tumbling ice?). Any low that grows over the basin in the coming weeks will potentially cause loss to spike again reducing the gap in extent between 2012 and this year....... this is still far from over.....the portly feminine performer isn't even in the dressing room yet!
  13. Gray-Wolf
    This might explain the DMI 80N temp 'Blip'; https://www.apnews.com/2b290e199aef10bd18683bb021133052 If 'Polarstern' can power through to the Pole due to the mangled/mashed ice conditions (and open water???) then the Ocean's heat will also be able to interact with the air above?
  14. Gray-Wolf
    Had a nice end of the evening last week (11th?) with lightning flickering across my Southern/SW Horizon and Perseids flashing above me including one Golden fireball trending from my NE to the SW.......magical!
  15. Gray-Wolf
    Then there were 3..... Another area of interest, still on mainland Africa, has now been added to the NOAA plot! Cape Verde Storm anyone?
  16. Gray-Wolf
    http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php DMI 80N showing another departure from the 'average'? Is this indicating the amount of open water now in the 80N region? With most of the ice only 1 to 1.5m thick are we seeing seepage of ocean from a fragile pack that keeps breaking into ever smaller floes? The Arctic Ocean took on a lot of energy over July so will we see 'bottom melt' act more aggressively this year than previous? Thin, fragile ice (and the potential for storms) could mean that this 'warmed ocean' gets to continually interact with the remaining ice over the rest of ice season leading to larger losses than we are accustomed to at this time of year.....very interesting end to the season ahead! (IMHO!)
  17. Gray-Wolf
    Perfect for us here as the storms that died on their travels from Stoke found a new lease of life as the ascended over our Hills finally sparking off over the moor behind and back building into 'Fax way (& onto Bradford?) Very nice whilst it lasted!
  18. Gray-Wolf
    So 'Josephine' becomes the earliest 'J' storm in the Atlantic Basin..........
  19. Gray-Wolf
    Didn't hear one rumble of thunder but spent a pleasant hour, up to midnight, watching the lightning out to my west (over 40 miles away!) If it's all that's on offer you grab it!!!
  20. Gray-Wolf
    Can't believe I'm sat , dry, on my front doorstep in 'Royd watching the lightshow from my W/NW...... fabulous ( and very frequent!!!)
  21. Gray-Wolf
    The shower to the SW of Brum that gave those sferics is growing pretty fast!!!
  22. Gray-Wolf
    Well we've been under cloud since the little shower around mid-day but it's sweltering! The cloud blob runs down to Sheffield but all around is sunny so temps are being fueled from outside this cloud cover I'm keeping an eye on any development to the SE of Brum as I'm sure for it to drift over us here in the Valley it's gonna have to form up around there? Good luck with it all though folks!
  23. Gray-Wolf
    Canada just lost 2/3rd of its last 'intact' ice shelf; Canada's last fully intact Arctic ice shelf collapses - ArcticToday WWW.ARCTICTODAY.COM The last fully intact ice shelf in the Canadian Arctic has collapsed, losing more than 40 percent of its area in just two days at the end of July, researchers said...
  24. Gray-Wolf
    Didn't expect to see these sharp showers either? 2 loads of washing out and now I'm tied to the rainfall radar 'till they've passed!!! They appear to be slipping by to my E. but it's close!
  25. Gray-Wolf
    Some of the 'thickness plots' show sub 1m ice across large areas of the 80N zone? I know solar can penetrate 1m of ice but can temps 'seep through' from the leads in a broken, thin pack? (remember it's 'water' under that ice!)? To me if that 80N plot persists in its 'spike' then I'll be even more convinced that this is an 'ice issue' & not a transient '2m temp' blip as a large WAA passes over the region?
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